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The Bulls (31-51 in 2025–26) host the Cavaliers (52-30 in 2025–26) on Nov 23, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
CLE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CHI defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
CHI offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CLE defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CLECHI
Expected pace: about 104 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
CLECHINo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Donovan Mitchell's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 34.8 | 21.2 | 4.4 | 7.5 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 33.9 | 26.0 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Evan Mobley | 30.5 | 19.0 | 10.3 | 3.5 |
| Sam Merrill | 29.1 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Keon Ellis | 25.8 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Max Strus | 24.0 | 11.2 | 5.4 | 2.0 |
| Jarrett Allen | 23.0 | 16.2 | 8.8 | 0.6 |
| Dean Wade | 21.7 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey | 33.0 | 12.2 | 7.7 | 10.7 |
| Matas Buzelis | 31.0 | 18.2 | 7.2 | 1.7 |
| Leonard Miller | 27.1 | 14.6 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Tre Jones | 27.0 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Collin Sexton | 26.7 | 18.6 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| Isaac Okoro | 26.6 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Patrick Williams | 23.9 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 23.6 | 9.7 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
CLE offenseper gameCHI defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
CLE offense vs CHI defenseCHI offense vs CLE defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
CLEForAgainst49% of CLE's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
CHIForAgainst47% of CHI's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CLE 6series4 CHI| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | CLE 115 | CHI 110 | CLE+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | CHI 136 | CLE 125 | CHI+11 | +11 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | CLE 111 | CHI 127 | CHI+16 | +16 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | CHI 122 | CLE 128 | CLE+6 | +6 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | CLE 112 | CHI 119 | CHI+7 | +7 |
| Oct 7, 2025 | CHI 118 | CLE 117 | CHI+1 | +1 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | CHI 113 | CLE 135 | CLE+22 | +22 |
| Mar 4, 2025 | CLE 139 | CHI 117 | CLE+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | CHI 126 | CLE 144 | CLE+18 | +18 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | CLE 119 | CHI 113 | CLE+6 | +6 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CLE52-30 · last 82 games | CHI31-51 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 119.9#3 of 30 | 114.9#21 of 30 | 115.6 |
| 1st quarter points against | 28.2#24 of 30 | 30.6#6 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.1#5 of 30 | 110.6#23 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.0#9 of 30 | −4.9#22 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.