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The Warriors (37-45 in 2025–26) host the Celtics (56-26 in 2025–26) on Nov 22, 2026, 8:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
BOS offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GSW defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
GSW offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · BOS defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BOSGSW
Expected pace: about 100 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
BOS is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
BOSGSWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylen Brown's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 36.5 | 31.4 | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Jayson Tatum | 34.1 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Derrick White | 32.8 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Payton Pritchard | 31.5 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Neemias Queta | 27.0 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Sam Hauser | 25.3 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 24.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Walsh | 21.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 29.7 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Gui Santos | 29.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Draymond Green | 29.0 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Stephen Curry | 26.8 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 25.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Pat Spencer | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Gary Payton II | 21.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
BOS offenseper gameGSW defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
BOS offense vs GSW defenseGSW offense vs BOS defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
BOSForAgainst52% of BOS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
GSWForAgainst49% of GSW's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BOS 4series2 GSW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | GSW 99 | BOS 120 | BOS+21 | +21 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | BOS 121 | GSW 110 | BOS+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | BOS 125 | GSW 85 | BOS+40 | +40 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | GSW 118 | BOS 112 | GSW+6 | +6 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | GSW 88 | BOS 140 | BOS+52 | +52 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | BOS 126 | GSW 132 | GSW+6 | +6 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BOS56-26 · last 82 games | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 51.5%#5 of 30 | 48.9%#28 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 107.3#30 of 30 | 115.8#12 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 117.2#2 of 30 | 112.0#18 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +7.9#4 of 30 | −0.5#20 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.