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The Pelicans (26-56 in 2025–26) host the Pistons (60-22 in 2025–26) on Nov 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DET offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · NOP defense in 1
NOP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · DET defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DETNOP
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
DETNOPNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jalen Duren's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins | 31.4 | 16.0 | 3.9 | 6.9 |
| Jalen Duren | 30.4 | 22.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 |
| Ausar Thompson | 27.5 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Duncan Robinson | 26.6 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Tobias Harris | 25.5 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Kevin Huerter | 24.3 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Cade Cunningham | 20.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| Caris LeVert | 18.7 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 36.3 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Saddiq Bey | 32.9 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| Zion Williamson | 30.3 | 19.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Dejounte Murray | 29.1 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 7.3 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 27.9 | 19.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Josh Oduro | 27.0 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| Herbert Jones | 26.7 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Derik Queen | 24.0 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 |
DET offenseper gameNOP defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DET offense vs NOP defenseNOP offense vs DET defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DETForAgainst52% of DET's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
NOPForAgainst49% of NOP's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DET 4series2 NOP| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | NOP 108 | DET 129 | DET+21 | +21 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | DET 112 | NOP 104 | DET+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | NOP 130 | DET 136 | DET+6 | +6 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | DET 127 | NOP 81 | DET+46 | +46 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | NOP 114 | DET 101 | NOP+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | DET 116 | NOP 125 | NOP+9 | +9 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DET60-22 · last 82 games | NOP26-56 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4th quarter points against | 26.2#27 of 30 | 29.3#4 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.5#29 of 30 | 115.6#8 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Scoring margin | +8.2#3 of 30 | −4.5#21 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +7.9#3 of 30 | −4.3#21 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.