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The Celtics (56-26 in 2025–26) host the Magic (45-37 in 2025–26) on Nov 16, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
ORL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BOS defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
BOS offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ORL defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ORLBOS
Expected pace: about 101 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
BOS is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
ORLBOSNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylen Brown's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 33.9 | 22.2 | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| Desmond Bane | 30.7 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Jalen Suggs | 30.4 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Tristan da Silva | 26.3 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Franz Wagner | 21.3 | 17.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Jamal Cain | 20.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Jevon Carter | 19.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 36.5 | 31.4 | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Jayson Tatum | 34.1 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Derrick White | 32.8 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Payton Pritchard | 31.5 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Neemias Queta | 27.0 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Sam Hauser | 25.3 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 24.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Walsh | 21.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
ORL offenseper gameBOS defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
ORL offense vs BOS defenseBOS offense vs ORL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
ORLForAgainst54% of ORL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
BOSForAgainst52% of BOS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ORL 3series7 BOS| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | ORL 108 | BOS 113 | BOS+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | ORL 129 | BOS 138 | BOS+9 | +9 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | BOS 111 | ORL 107 | BOS+4 | +4 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | BOS 110 | ORL 123 | ORL+13 | +13 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | ORL 89 | BOS 120 | BOS+31 | +31 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | BOS 107 | ORL 98 | BOS+9 | +9 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | BOS 93 | ORL 95 | ORL+2 | +2 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | ORL 100 | BOS 109 | BOS+9 | +9 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | ORL 86 | BOS 103 | BOS+17 | +17 |
| Apr 9, 2025 | BOS 76 | ORL 96 | ORL+20 | +20 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ORL45-37 · last 82 games | BOS56-26 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points against | 29.3#11 of 30 | 26.3#30 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Possessions per game | 103.4#12 of 30 | 98.0#30 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.0#19 of 30 | 117.2#2 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Scoring margin | +0.6#17 of 30 | +7.7#4 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.