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The Cavaliers (52-30 in 2025–26) host the Mavericks (26-56 in 2025–26) on Nov 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DAL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CLE defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
CLE offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · DAL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DALCLE
Expected pace: about 104 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
DALCLENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Donovan Mitchell's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 33.1 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| P.J. Washington | 32.1 | 16.3 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| Naji Marshall | 30.4 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Max Christie | 27.9 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Moussa Cisse | 26.0 | 10.8 | 12.5 | 0.3 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 24.2 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 7.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 22.0 | 13.3 | 7.1 | 1.3 |
| Brandon Williams | 21.6 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 34.8 | 21.2 | 4.4 | 7.5 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 33.9 | 26.0 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Evan Mobley | 30.5 | 19.0 | 10.3 | 3.5 |
| Sam Merrill | 29.1 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Keon Ellis | 25.8 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Max Strus | 24.0 | 11.2 | 5.4 | 2.0 |
| Jarrett Allen | 23.0 | 16.2 | 8.8 | 0.6 |
| Dean Wade | 21.7 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
DAL offenseper gameCLE defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DAL offense vs CLE defenseCLE offense vs DAL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DALForAgainst51% of DAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
CLEForAgainst49% of CLE's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DAL 1series5 CLE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | DAL 130 | CLE 120 | DAL+10 | +10 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLE 138 | DAL 105 | CLE+33 | +33 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | DAL 101 | CLE 144 | CLE+43 | +43 |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CLE 134 | DAL 122 | CLE+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | DAL 119 | CLE 121 | CLE+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | CLE 113 | DAL 110 | CLE+3 | +3 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DAL26-56 · last 82 games | CLE52-30 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.6#27 of 30 | 116.1#5 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 111.9#26 of 30 | 119.2#5 of 30 | 115.6 |
| 1st quarter points against | 31.8#3 of 30 | 28.2#24 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.2#23 of 30 | +4.0#9 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.