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The Timberwolves (49-33 in 2025–26) host the Mavericks (26-56 in 2025–26) on Nov 12, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MIN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
MIN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · DAL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DALMIN
Expected pace: about 104 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
DALMINNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cooper Flagg's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 33.1 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| P.J. Washington | 32.1 | 16.3 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| Naji Marshall | 30.4 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Max Christie | 27.9 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Moussa Cisse | 26.0 | 10.8 | 12.5 | 0.3 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 24.2 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 7.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 22.0 | 13.3 | 7.1 | 1.3 |
| Brandon Williams | 21.6 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 33.1 | 22.1 | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 32.6 | 18.3 | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| Rudy Gobert | 30.5 | 10.8 | 12.3 | 1.2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 30.4 | 16.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 28.3 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Anthony Edwards | 28.3 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| Naz Reid | 25.9 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| Bones Hyland | 24.5 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
DAL offenseper gameMIN defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DAL offense vs MIN defenseMIN offense vs DAL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DALForAgainst51% of DAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
MINForAgainst50% of MIN's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DAL 3series7 MIN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | MIN 124 | DAL 94 | MIN+30 | +30 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DAL 111 | MIN 122 | MIN+11 | +11 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | MIN 118 | DAL 105 | MIN+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | DAL 96 | MIN 120 | MIN+24 | +24 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MIN 115 | DAL 114 | MIN+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2024 | MIN 105 | DAL 99 | MIN+6 | +6 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | DAL 120 | MIN 114 | DAL+6 | +6 |
| May 30, 2024 | DAL 124 | MIN 103 | DAL+21 | +21 |
| May 28, 2024 | MIN 105 | DAL 100 | MIN+5 | +5 |
| May 26, 2024 | MIN 107 | DAL 116 | DAL+9 | +9 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DAL26-56 · last 82 games | MIN49-33 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points against | 31.8#3 of 30 | 28.5#22 of 30 | 29.4 |
| 4th quarter points for | 27.3#19 of 30 | 29.5#2 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.6#27 of 30 | 113.8#13 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.2#23 of 30 | +3.2#10 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.