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The Pacers (19-63 in 2025–26) host the Nuggets (54-28 in 2025–26) on Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DEN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · IND defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
IND offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DEN defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DENIND
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
DENINDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jamal Murray's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 37.1 | 24.0 | 4.8 | 7.2 |
| Nikola Jokic | 35.4 | 24.0 | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| Christian Braun | 31.7 | 14.6 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Cameron Johnson | 31.2 | 15.1 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Gordon | 29.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.1 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24.0 | 12.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Bruce Brown | 22.1 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| David Roddy | 20.3 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 33.0 | 16.0 | 2.8 | 12.0 |
| Pascal Siakam | 30.4 | 23.9 | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| Ethan Thompson | 29.6 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 29.4 | 17.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Jarace Walker | 28.4 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Kobe Brown | 25.4 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| Jalen Slawson | 24.4 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| Ivica Zubac | 24.3 | 13.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 |
DEN offenseper gameIND defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DEN offense vs IND defenseIND offense vs DEN defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DENForAgainst50% of DEN's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
INDForAgainst52% of IND's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DEN 5series1 IND| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | DEN 135 | IND 120 | DEN+15 | +15 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | IND 100 | DEN 117 | DEN+17 | +17 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | IND 125 | DEN 120 | IND+5 | +5 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | DEN 125 | IND 116 | DEN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | DEN 114 | IND 109 | DEN+5 | +5 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | IND 109 | DEN 117 | DEN+8 | +8 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DEN54-28 · last 82 games | IND19-63 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 119.6#1 of 30 | 108.3#28 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Points for | 122.1#1 of 30 | 112.4#27 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +4.7#6 of 30 | −5.4#27 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.0#7 of 30 | −7.7#26 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.