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The Hawks (46-36 in 2025–26) host the Wizards (17-65 in 2025–26) on Nov 6, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
WAS offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ATL defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
ATL offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · WAS defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
WASATL
Expected pace: about 105 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
WASATLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nickeil Alexander-Walker's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Riley | 32.1 | 17.1 | 3.9 | 3.2 |
| Julian Reese | 31.6 | 13.5 | 11.3 | 1.9 |
| Bub Carrington | 29.5 | 15.3 | 2.3 | 5.0 |
| Anthony Gill | 28.3 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| Leaky Black | 27.3 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 1.5 |
| Jamir Watkins | 25.2 | 10.1 | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| Justin Champagnie | 24.0 | 11.3 | 5.7 | 1.8 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 23.9 | 15.3 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 35.0 | 20.3 | 9.8 | 7.0 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 33.8 | 24.6 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Dyson Daniels | 32.5 | 13.8 | 7.9 | 4.8 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 29.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 2.7 |
| CJ McCollum | 29.6 | 18.9 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 21.3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| Jock Landale | 20.9 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 16.3 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 0.6 |
WAS offenseper gameATL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
WAS offense vs ATL defenseATL offense vs WAS defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
WASForAgainst48% of WAS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
ATLForAgainst52% of ATL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
WAS 4series6 ATL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | WAS 96 | ATL 126 | ATL+30 | +30 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | WAS 98 | ATL 119 | ATL+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | ATL 131 | WAS 116 | ATL+15 | +15 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | ATL 113 | WAS 132 | WAS+19 | +19 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ATL 125 | WAS 111 | ATL+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | WAS 117 | ATL 129 | ATL+12 | +12 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | ATL 120 | WAS 133 | WAS+13 | +13 |
| Oct 28, 2024 | WAS 121 | ATL 119 | WAS+2 | +2 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WAS 127 | ATL 99 | WAS+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | ATL 130 | WAS 126 | ATL+4 | +4 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WAS17-65 · last 82 games | ATL46-36 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 27.6#28 of 30 | 30.5#4 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 119.6#1 of 30 | 110.9#20 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Scoring margin | −12.0#30 of 30 | +2.4#12 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −11.5#30 of 30 | +2.3#12 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.