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The Mavericks (26-56 in 2025–26) host the Rockets (52-30 in 2025–26) on Oct 30, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
HOU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DAL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
DAL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · HOU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
HOUDAL
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
HOUDALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Kevin Durant's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson | 38.8 | 20.4 | 8.0 | 5.4 |
| Kevin Durant | 36.1 | 26.6 | 5.3 | 6.3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 36.1 | 17.1 | 7.1 | 2.1 |
| Alperen Sengun | 32.9 | 21.2 | 8.6 | 6.7 |
| Reed Sheppard | 27.1 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Tari Eason | 24.3 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 1.1 |
| Aaron Holiday | 15.9 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Josh Okogie | 12.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 33.1 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| P.J. Washington | 32.1 | 16.3 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| Naji Marshall | 30.4 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Max Christie | 27.9 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Moussa Cisse | 26.0 | 10.8 | 12.5 | 0.3 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 24.2 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 7.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 22.0 | 13.3 | 7.1 | 1.3 |
| Brandon Williams | 21.6 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 4.5 |
HOU offenseper gameDAL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
HOU offense vs DAL defenseDAL offense vs HOU defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
HOUForAgainst50% of HOU's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
DALForAgainst51% of DAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
HOU 5series5 DAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAL 107 | HOU 111 | HOU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOU 104 | DAL 110 | DAL+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | HOU 109 | DAL 122 | DAL+13 | +13 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | DAL 102 | HOU 110 | HOU+8 | +8 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | DAL 96 | HOU 133 | HOU+37 | +37 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HOU 105 | DAL 116 | DAL+11 | +11 |
| Jan 1, 2025 | DAL 99 | HOU 110 | HOU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | HOU 108 | DAL 102 | HOU+6 | +6 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | HOU 136 | DAL 147 | DAL+11 | +11 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | DAL 125 | HOU 107 | DAL+18 | +18 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HOU52-30 · last 82 games | DAL26-56 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points against | 27.2#29 of 30 | 31.8#3 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Possessions per game | 100.1#26 of 30 | 105.1#4 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.1#9 of 30 | 108.6#27 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Scoring margin | +5.2#6 of 30 | −5.5#23 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.