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The Warriors (37-45 in 2025–26) host the Trail Blazers (42-40 in 2025–26) in the preseason on Oct 16, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
POR offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · GSW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
GSW offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · POR defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PORGSW
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
POR is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
PORGSWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Deni Avdija's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 33.5 | 24.5 | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| Toumani Camara | 32.7 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| Jrue Holiday | 30.5 | 15.4 | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| Jerami Grant | 30.2 | 17.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| Scoot Henderson | 26.5 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| Donovan Clingan | 26.4 | 12.9 | 11.7 | 1.9 |
| Kris Murray | 21.9 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| Matisse Thybulle | 19.9 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 29.7 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Gui Santos | 29.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Draymond Green | 29.0 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Stephen Curry | 26.8 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 25.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Pat Spencer | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Gary Payton II | 21.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
POR offenseper gameGSW defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
POR offense vs GSW defenseGSW offense vs POR defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
PORForAgainst55% of POR's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
GSWForAgainst49% of GSW's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
POR 3series7 GSW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | POR 97 | GSW 119 | GSW+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | GSW 131 | POR 136 | POR+5 | +5 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | POR 127 | GSW 123 | POR+4 | +4 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | GSW 119 | POR 139 | POR+20 | +20 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | GSW 118 | POR 111 | GSW+7 | +7 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | POR 123 | GSW 129 | GSW+6 | +6 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | GSW 103 | POR 86 | GSW+17 | +17 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | POR 120 | GSW 130 | GSW+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | GSW 140 | POR 104 | GSW+36 | +36 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | GSW 100 | POR 92 | GSW+8 | +8 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | POR42-40 · last 82 games | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 51.6%#3 of 30 | 48.9%#28 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 51.1%#6 of 30 | 49.6%#24 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Possessions per game | 104.0#8 of 30 | 102.3#18 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 111.3#19 of 30 | 112.6#14 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.