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The Lakers (53-29 in 2025–26) and the Warriors (37-45 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site in the preseason on Oct 13, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
GSW offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LAL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
LAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GSW defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
GSWLAL
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
GSWLALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Luka Doncic's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 29.7 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Gui Santos | 29.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Draymond Green | 29.0 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Stephen Curry | 26.8 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 25.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Pat Spencer | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Gary Payton II | 21.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves | 36.8 | 20.1 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| Luka Doncic | 36.7 | 37.7 | 6.3 | 6.7 |
| LeBron James | 32.8 | 19.9 | 7.4 | 8.0 |
| Marcus Smart | 28.8 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Deandre Ayton | 26.2 | 11.9 | 6.6 | 0.6 |
| Jake LaRavia | 24.8 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Rui Hachimura | 24.7 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Luke Kennard | 23.7 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
GSW offenseper gameLAL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
GSW offense vs LAL defenseLAL offense vs GSW defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
GSWForAgainst49% of GSW's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
LALForAgainst51% of LAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
GSW 3series7 LAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | LAL 119 | GSW 103 | LAL+16 | +16 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAL 129 | GSW 101 | LAL+28 | +28 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | GSW 99 | LAL 105 | LAL+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | GSW 119 | LAL 109 | GSW+10 | +10 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | GSW 116 | LAL 126 | LAL+10 | +10 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | LAL 103 | GSW 111 | GSW+8 | +8 |
| Apr 3, 2025 | GSW 123 | LAL 116 | GSW+7 | +7 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GSW 112 | LAL 120 | LAL+8 | +8 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAL 118 | GSW 108 | LAL+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2024 | LAL 115 | GSW 113 | LAL+2 | +2 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | LAL53-29 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.6%#24 of 30 | 51.4%#1 of 30 | 50.3% |
| 1st quarter points for | 28.4#26 of 30 | 30.3#8 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.0#18 of 30 | 115.4#8 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.5#20 of 30 | +1.7#14 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.