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The Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) host the Pacers (19-63 in 2025–26) in the preseason on Oct 13, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
IND offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · OKC defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
OKC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · IND defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
INDOKC
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
INDOKCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 33.0 | 16.0 | 2.8 | 12.0 |
| Pascal Siakam | 30.4 | 23.9 | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| Ethan Thompson | 29.6 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 29.4 | 17.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Jarace Walker | 28.4 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Kobe Brown | 25.4 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| Jalen Slawson | 24.4 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| Ivica Zubac | 24.3 | 13.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
IND offenseper gameOKC defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
IND offense vs OKC defenseOKC offense vs IND defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
INDForAgainst52% of IND's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
IND 5series5 OKC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | IND 117 | OKC 114 | IND+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | OKC 141 | IND 135 | OKC+6 | +6 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OKC 101 | IND 116 | IND+15 | +15 |
| Jun 22, 2025 | IND 91 | OKC 103 | OKC+12 | +12 |
| Jun 19, 2025 | OKC 91 | IND 108 | IND+17 | +17 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | IND 109 | OKC 120 | OKC+11 | +11 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | OKC 111 | IND 104 | OKC+7 | +7 |
| Jun 11, 2025 | OKC 107 | IND 116 | IND+9 | +9 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | IND 107 | OKC 123 | OKC+16 | +16 |
| Jun 5, 2025 | IND 111 | OKC 110 | IND+1 | +1 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | IND19-63 · last 82 games | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 61.0#4 of 30 | 53.1#30 of 30 | 58.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −10.6#26 of 30 | +11.5#1 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.0#5 of 30 | 105.1#30 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −7.7#26 of 30 | +10.9#1 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.