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The Cavaliers (52-30 in 2025–26) host the Magic (45-37 in 2025–26) in the preseason on Oct 11, 2026, 6:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
ORL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CLE defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
CLE offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ORL defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ORLCLE
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
ORLCLENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Donovan Mitchell's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 33.9 | 22.2 | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| Desmond Bane | 30.7 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Jalen Suggs | 30.4 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Tristan da Silva | 26.3 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Franz Wagner | 21.3 | 17.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Jamal Cain | 20.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Jevon Carter | 19.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 34.8 | 21.2 | 4.4 | 7.5 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 33.9 | 26.0 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Evan Mobley | 30.5 | 19.0 | 10.3 | 3.5 |
| Sam Merrill | 29.1 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Keon Ellis | 25.8 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Max Strus | 24.0 | 11.2 | 5.4 | 2.0 |
| Jarrett Allen | 23.0 | 16.2 | 8.8 | 0.6 |
| Dean Wade | 21.7 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
ORL offenseper gameCLE defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
ORL offense vs CLE defenseCLE offense vs ORL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
ORLForAgainst54% of ORL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
CLEForAgainst49% of CLE's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ORL 3series7 CLE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | ORL 131 | CLE 136 | CLE+5 | +5 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | CLE 122 | ORL 128 | ORL+6 | +6 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | ORL 98 | CLE 114 | CLE+16 | +16 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | CLE 119 | ORL 105 | CLE+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | ORL 108 | CLE 103 | ORL+5 | +5 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | CLE 122 | ORL 82 | CLE+40 | +40 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | ORL 109 | CLE 120 | CLE+11 | +11 |
| May 5, 2024 | ORL 94 | CLE 106 | CLE+12 | +12 |
| May 3, 2024 | CLE 96 | ORL 103 | ORL+7 | +7 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | ORL 103 | CLE 104 | CLE+1 | +1 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ORL45-37 · last 82 games | CLE52-30 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4th quarter points for | 27.4#18 of 30 | 30.0#1 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.0#19 of 30 | 116.1#5 of 30 | 112.8 |
| 4th quarter points against | 26.8#20 of 30 | 28.1#10 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.6#17 of 30 | +4.0#9 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.