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The Warriors (37-45 in 2025–26) host the Kings (22-60 in 2025–26) in the preseason on Oct 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
SAC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · GSW defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
GSW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SAC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SACGSW
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
SACGSWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Stephen Curry's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 33.9 | 14.1 | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 32.7 | 18.5 | 8.6 | 1.9 |
| Precious Achiuwa | 30.5 | 15.7 | 9.3 | 1.7 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 30.0 | 14.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Russell Westbrook | 29.7 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 9.3 |
| Devin Carter | 28.5 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 28.4 | 18.7 | 2.3 | 5.5 |
| Malik Monk | 22.1 | 11.8 | 1.7 | 4.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 29.7 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Gui Santos | 29.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Draymond Green | 29.0 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Stephen Curry | 26.8 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 25.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24.2 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Pat Spencer | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Gary Payton II | 21.5 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
SAC offenseper gameGSW defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
SAC offense vs GSW defenseGSW offense vs SAC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
SACForAgainst49% of SAC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
GSWForAgainst49% of GSW's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SAC 4series6 GSW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | GSW 118 | SAC 124 | SAC+6 | +6 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | SAC 105 | GSW 110 | GSW+5 | +5 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | SAC 103 | GSW 137 | GSW+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | GSW 116 | SAC 121 | SAC+5 | +5 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SAC 104 | GSW 130 | GSW+26 | +26 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | GSW 132 | SAC 108 | GSW+24 | +24 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | GSW 117 | SAC 123 | SAC+6 | +6 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SAC 129 | GSW 99 | SAC+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | SAC 106 | GSW 109 | GSW+3 | +3 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | GSW 122 | SAC 112 | GSW+10 | +10 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SAC22-60 · last 82 games | GSW37-45 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 51.4%#2 of 30 | 49.6%#24 of 30 | 50.3% |
| 4th quarter points for | 26.4#26 of 30 | 28.7#7 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 118.4#3 of 30 | 112.6#14 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.6#26 of 30 | 112.0#18 of 30 | 112.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.