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The Cavaliers (52-30 in 2025–26) host the Celtics (56-26 in 2025–26) in the preseason on Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
BOS offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CLE defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
CLE offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BOS defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BOSCLE
Expected pace: about 100 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
BOS is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylen Brown's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 36.5 | 31.4 | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Jayson Tatum | 34.1 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Derrick White | 32.8 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Payton Pritchard | 31.5 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Neemias Queta | 27.0 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Sam Hauser | 25.3 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 24.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Walsh | 21.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 34.8 | 21.2 | 4.4 | 7.5 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 33.9 | 26.0 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Evan Mobley | 30.5 | 19.0 | 10.3 | 3.5 |
| Sam Merrill | 29.1 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Keon Ellis | 25.8 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Max Strus | 24.0 | 11.2 | 5.4 | 2.0 |
| Jarrett Allen | 23.0 | 16.2 | 8.8 | 0.6 |
| Dean Wade | 21.7 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
BOS offenseper gameCLE defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
BOS offense vs CLE defenseCLE offense vs BOS defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
BOSForAgainst52% of BOS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
CLEForAgainst49% of CLE's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BOS 8series2 CLE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | BOS 109 | CLE 98 | BOS+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | BOS 117 | CLE 115 | BOS+2 | +2 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | CLE 105 | BOS 125 | BOS+20 | +20 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | CLE 107 | BOS 138 | BOS+31 | +31 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CLE 123 | BOS 116 | CLE+7 | +7 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BOS 112 | CLE 105 | BOS+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | BOS 111 | CLE 115 | CLE+4 | +4 |
| Nov 19, 2024 | CLE 117 | BOS 120 | BOS+3 | +3 |
| May 15, 2024 | CLE 98 | BOS 113 | BOS+15 | +15 |
| May 13, 2024 | BOS 109 | CLE 102 | BOS+7 | +7 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BOS56-26 · last 82 games | CLE52-30 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 51.5%#5 of 30 | 48.7%#29 of 30 | 50.3% |
| 4th quarter points against | 25.9#29 of 30 | 28.1#10 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Possessions per game | 98.0#30 of 30 | 103.0#14 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.4#27 of 30 | 112.1#16 of 30 | 112.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.