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The Pacers (19-63 in 2025–26) and the Timberwolves (49-33 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site in the preseason on Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
MIN offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · IND defense in 0
IND offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · MIN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MININD
Expected pace: about 104 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
MININDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Pascal Siakam's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 33.1 | 22.1 | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 32.6 | 18.3 | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| Rudy Gobert | 30.5 | 10.8 | 12.3 | 1.2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 30.4 | 16.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 28.3 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Anthony Edwards | 28.3 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| Naz Reid | 25.9 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| Bones Hyland | 24.5 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 33.0 | 16.0 | 2.8 | 12.0 |
| Pascal Siakam | 30.4 | 23.9 | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| Ethan Thompson | 29.6 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 29.4 | 17.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Jarace Walker | 28.4 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Kobe Brown | 25.4 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| Jalen Slawson | 24.4 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| Ivica Zubac | 24.3 | 13.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 |
MIN offenseper gameIND defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
MIN offense vs IND defenseIND offense vs MIN defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
MINForAgainst50% of MIN's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
INDForAgainst52% of IND's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIN 4series3 IND| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | MIN 124 | IND 104 | MIN+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | IND 110 | MIN 114 | MIN+4 | +4 |
| Oct 7, 2025 | IND 135 | MIN 134 | IND+1 | +1 |
| Mar 24, 2025 | MIN 103 | IND 119 | IND+16 | +16 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | IND 132 | MIN 130 | IND+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | MIN 113 | IND 111 | MIN+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | IND 109 | MIN 127 | MIN+18 | +18 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MIN49-33 · last 82 games | IND19-63 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 121.2#2 of 30 | 113.8#26 of 30 | 115.6 |
| 2nd quarter points against | 27.7#23 of 30 | 30.9#3 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.5#23 of 30 | 116.0#5 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +3.2#10 of 30 | −7.7#26 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.