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The Heat beat the Raptors 129–105 in Toronto on Oct 3, 2026.
Closing line· 3 books· best MIA +120 BetMGM · TOR -102 FanDuel
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
  MIA | 41 | 35 | 19 | 34 | 129 |
  TOR | 23 | 32 | 25 | 25 | 105 |
Miami HeatToronto Raptors| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 14 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Bam Adebayo | 13 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Davion Mitchell | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Klay Thompson | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bez Mbeng | 18 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Ryan Conwell | 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Nikola Jovic | 17 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Tre Donaldson | 16 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Myron Gardner | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Pelle Larsson | 11 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bobby Portis | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Ian Schieffelin | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nick Richards | 10 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lester Quinones | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Vladislav Goldin | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 129 | 55 | 31 | 42-86 | 14-40 |
| TOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl | 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 18 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| RJ Barrett | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Scottie Barnes | 12 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Malachi Smith | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-4 |
| Jamal Shead | 28 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Chucky Hepburn | 25 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Nimari Burnett | 24 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-8 |
| Jaden Bradley | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 20 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| Tyreke Key | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Totals | 105 | 43 | 26 | 37-94 | 12-41 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
| Team | Made | FG% | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 42-86 | 49% | 14-40 35% |
| TOR | 37-94 | 39% | 12-41 29% |
From charted shot locations; free throws have none. Both teams are drawn at one basket. Made and FG% follow the shot type chosen above; 3PT is always the threes. 1 heave from beyond half court is left off the map. Descriptive history of this game.
MIA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TOR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
TOR offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MIA defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MIATORExpected pace: about 104 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Crew chiefJames Capers · also working Brent Barnaky
Counts per game across his last 59 games next to the league's over the same dates (bar: 90% range, dot: his average, line: the league's). History, not a forecast.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bam Adebayo's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo | 35.1 | 20.4 | 11.1 | 4.4 |
| Tyler Herro | 32.2 | 18.2 | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Pelle Larsson | 30.6 | 14.3 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| Davion Mitchell | 29.7 | 11.0 | 2.6 | 5.6 |
| Norman Powell | 27.6 | 17.6 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 27.2 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 26.2 | 17.1 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Kel'el Ware | 20.0 | 10.0 | 7.4 | 1.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 31.9 | 19.2 | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| RJ Barrett | 30.3 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Scottie Barnes | 30.0 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 8.4 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 26.6 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Jamal Shead | 25.1 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 6.8 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 24.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.8 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 23.2 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21.7 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 |
MIA offenseper gameTOR defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
MIA offense vs TOR defenseTOR offense vs MIA defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
MIAForAgainst50% of MIA's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
TORForAgainst49% of TOR's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIA 5series5 TOR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | MIA 129 | TOR 105 | MIA+24 | +24 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | MIA 114 | TOR 128 | TOR+14 | +14 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | MIA 95 | TOR 121 | TOR+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | TOR 112 | MIA 91 | TOR+21 | +21 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | TOR 106 | MIA 96 | TOR+10 | +10 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MIA 120 | TOR 111 | MIA+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | TOR 104 | MIA 114 | MIA+10 | +10 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | MIA 116 | TOR 119 | TOR+3 | +3 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | TOR 111 | MIA 121 | MIA+10 | +10 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | TOR 103 | MIA 118 | MIA+15 | +15 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
