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Guardians at Rays: MLB, Oct 19, 2026

FinalMon, Oct 19Tropicana Field
League Championship SeriesGame 6 · TB wins series 4-2Bracket →
Cleveland GuardiansRegular season 85-77
3
Tampa Bay RaysRegular season 98-64
7
Run line
TB -1.5
(+145)
Total
7
▲ 0.5 since open
CLE ML
+132
TB ML
−155

Closing line · 3 books · best CLE +135 DraftKings · TB −152 DraftKings

Team123456789RHE
CLE000001020370
TB02100022x770

Box scoreEvery hitter and pitcher's line from the game. Batting order, substitutes indented; W marks the winning pitcher.History

Park and weatherThe park, roof and first-pitch weather. The little field is drawn from the park's posted wall distances; the streaks show the wind's direction relative to center field (CF at the top).

CF
Dome · St. Petersburg
Tropicana Field
72°F
Dome

Indoors: wind and weather are out of play.

Surface
Turf
Start
Night
Park factorRuns this park adds or removes (100 = neutral; higher favors hitters), home vs road over three seasons. Rank 1 = most runs.
10016th of 30
Walls: LF 315 · LCF 370 · CF 404 · RCF 370 · RF 322 ft

Plate umpireCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.History

Last 40 games since Jul 5, 2025
Chad Fairchild
Strikeouts
per game, both teams
15.4
below the league average (16.8, −8.3%)
Walks
per game, both teams
6.2
in line with the league average (6.6)
Runs
per game, both teams
9.5
in line with the league average (9.0)

Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 3,538 league games, 40 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.

Going into the game · starters, recent form

Starters, season numbers going inEach starter's season stats before this game; green marks the better side (lower is better for ERA, WHIP, BB/9, HR/9). The last four rows are tracking data on batted balls and swings; a dash means too few pitches are tracked.History

TB
Freddy Peralta
RHP · 32 starts
CLETB
4.59
ERAEarned runs per nine innings this season, going into the game. Lower is better.
4.42
1.36
WHIPWalks plus hits per inning pitched. Lower is better.
1.33
8.67
K/9Strikeouts per nine innings.
8.31
4.84
BB/9Walks per nine innings. Lower is better.
3.36
1.02
HR/9Home runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is better.
1.22
35.3
InningsInnings pitched this season (as a starter and reliever).
169.0
—
xwOBA againstExpected wOBA on the contact he allows, from exit speed and launch angle. Lower is better.
.302
—
Whiff %Share of swings that miss. Higher is better for a pitcher.
26.1%
—
Hard-hit % againstShare of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder. Lower is better.
37.2%
—
Barrel % againstShare of batted balls hit at the speed and angle that most often become extra-base hits. Lower is better.
5.8%
CLE · last 3 starts
  • 10-17 vs TB1.0 IP · 1 K · 0 H · 0 BB0 ER
  • 06-19 @ TEX1.0 IP · 1 K · 1 H · 1 BB2 ER
  • 06-13 @ TEX3.0 IP · 5 K · 0 H · 0 BB0 ER

Against this opponent since last season: 1 start, 1.0 IP, 0.00 ERA, 1 K.

TB · last 3 starts
  • 10-13 vs CLE6.0 IP · 6 K · 4 H · 2 BB0 ER
  • 10-05 vs NYY4.7 IP · 3 K · 3 H · 1 BB1 ER
  • 09-25 @ PHI5.3 IP · 4 K · 4 H · 3 BB0 ER

Against this opponent since last season: 2 starts, 11.3 IP, 3.19 ERA, 10 K.

Season numbers to date; a starter with few innings has a noisy line.

Recent formLast ten games (hover for scores), runs for and against per game, and home/road splits.History

CLE · last 105-53.8 scored · 3.3 allowed a game
LLWWWWLWLL
Home 41-40Road 44-37Run diff +11
TB · last 107-34.3 scored · 2.8 allowed a game
WLWWWLWLWW
Home 55-26Road 43-38Run diff +86

Starters' numbers are their season going into the game; weather is the first-pitch forecast; lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. Descriptive data only, there is no MLB model. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.