Rays at Guardians: MLB, Oct 18, 2026

The Rays beat the Guardians 3–1 at Progressive Field on Oct 18, 2026.

FinalSun, Oct 18Progressive Field

League Championship SeriesGame 5 · TB leads 3-2Bracket →

Tampa Bay RaysRegular season 98-64

3

Cleveland GuardiansRegular season 85-77

1

Run line

TB -1.5

(+158)

Total

6.5

TB ML

−115

CLE ML

−102

Closing line · 3 books · best TB −110 DraftKings · CLE −101 DraftKings

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	12	0
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	0

TB3atCLE1FinalSun, Oct 18Run lineTB -1.5Total6.5

RecapProps (20)StatsHead to headOdds

Box scoreiEvery hitter and pitcher's line from the game. Batting order, substitutes indented; W marks the winning pitcher.◷History

Tampa Bay Rays

Hitters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	2B	3B	HR	SB
Y. DíazYandy Díaz1B	5	1	3	0	0	0	1
J. ArandaJonathan Aranda3B	5	0	2	1	0	0
R. ViladeRyan ViladeRF	1	0	0	0	1	1
V. Mesa Jr.Victor Mesa Jr.CF	3	0	0	0	0	0
J. CamineroJunior Caminero3B	4	0	1	0	0	2
C. SimpsonChandler SimpsonCF	3	1	2	0	0	0	1			1
J. DeLucaJonny DeLucaCF	3	0	0	1	1	1
L. HicksLiam HicksC	3	0	2	1	1	0
B. WilliamsonBen Williamson3B	4	1	1	0	0	0
T. WallsTaylor WallsSS	4	0	1	0	0	2				1
Totals	35	3	12	3	3	6

2B Díaz, Simpson · SB Simpson, Walls

Pitchers	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P
D. RasmussenDrew RasmussenW	7.0	4	1	1	6		95
C. BooserCam Booser	0.2	1	0	0	0		10
T. WellsTyler Wells	0.1	0	0	0	1		5
B. BakerBryan Baker	1.0	0	0	1	0		14

Cleveland Guardians

Hitters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	2B	3B	HR	SB
S. KwanSteven KwanLF	4	1	2	0	0	0
J. RamírezJosé Ramírez3B	4	0	1	0	0	1
C. DeLauterChase DeLauterRF	3	0	1	1	1	0
J. AdellJo AdellDH	3	0	0	0	1	1
N. LoweNathaniel Lowe1B	4	0	1	0	0	2
T. BazzanaTravis Bazzana2B	4	0	0	0	0	2
P. BaileyPatrick BaileyC	3	0	0	0	0	0
P. HalpinPetey HalpinLF	2	0	0	0	0	1
A. MartínezAngel MartínezDH	1	0	0	0	0	0
B. RocchioBrayan RocchioSS	3	0	0	0	0	0
Totals	31	1	5	1	2	7

Pitchers	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P
P. MessickParker Messick	2.0	5	2	2	3		57
T. HerrinTim Herrin	1.0	3	1	0	0		18
S. ArmstrongShawn Armstrong	1.1	1	0	0	0		13
E. SabrowskiErik Sabrowski	1.2	1	0	0	2		18
H. GaddisHunter Gaddis	1.2	1	0	1	0		19
C. SmithCade Smith	1.1	1	0	0	1		22

Park and weatheriThe park, roof and first-pitch weather. The little field is drawn from the park's posted wall distances; the streaks show the wind's direction relative to center field (CF at the top).

Open air · Cleveland

Progressive Field

63°F

Clear

8 mphL To RCrosswind.

Surface

Grass

Start

Night

Park factoriRuns this park adds or removes (100 = neutral; higher favors hitters), home vs road over three seasons. Rank 1 = most runs.

1056th of 30

Walls: LF 325 · LCF 370 · CF 405 · RCF 375 · RF 325 ftSee all parks ›

Plate umpireiCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History

Last 38 games since Aug 9, 2025

Jordan Baker

Strikeouts

per game, both teams

16.3

≈ in line with the league average (16.9)

Walks

per game, both teams

6.3

≈ in line with the league average (6.6)

Runs

per game, both teams

7.9

≈ in line with the league average (9.0)

Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 3,118 league games, 38 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.

Going into the game · starters, recent formShowHide▸

Starters, season numbers going iniEach starter's season stats before this game; green marks the better side (lower is better for ERA, WHIP, BB/9, HR/9). The last four rows are tracking data on batted balls and swings; a dash means too few pitches are tracked.◷History

TB

Drew Rasmussen

RHP · 30 starts

CLE

Parker Messick

LHP · 32 starts

TBCLE

2.67

ERA?Earned runs per nine innings this season, going into the game. Lower is better.

2.56

0.91

WHIP?Walks plus hits per inning pitched. Lower is better.

1.06

9.10

K/9?Strikeouts per nine innings.

9.32

1.67

BB/9?Walks per nine innings. Lower is better.

2.37

0.73

HR/9?Home runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is better.

0.82

172.0

Innings?Innings pitched this season (as a starter and reliever).

186.3

.271

xwOBA against?Expected wOBA on the contact he allows, from exit speed and launch angle. Lower is better.

.275

25.1%

Whiff %?Share of swings that miss. Higher is better for a pitcher.

25.5%

33.8%

Hard-hit % against?Share of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder. Lower is better.

34.3%

5.9%

Barrel % against?Share of batted balls hit at the speed and angle that most often become extra-base hits. Lower is better.

5.0%

TB · last 3 starts

• 10-12 vs CLE6.0 IP · 7 K · 8 H · 0 BB2 ER
• 10-03 vs NYY8.0 IP · 10 K · 1 H · 2 BB0 ER
• 09-22 @ NYY6.7 IP · 11 K · 1 H · 3 BB1 ER

Against this opponent since last season: 5 starts, 29.0 IP, 1.86 ERA, 29 K.

CLE · last 3 starts

• 10-13 @ TB5.0 IP · 3 K · 6 H · 2 BB0 ER
• 10-08 @ CWS2.3 IP · 5 K · 2 H · 4 BB2 ER
• 10-03 vs CWS4.3 IP · 6 K · 4 H · 2 BB2 ER

Against this opponent since last season: 5 starts, 31.3 IP, 0.86 ERA, 28 K.

Season numbers to date; a starter with few innings has a noisy line.

Recent formiLast ten games (hover for scores), runs for and against per game, and home/road splits.◷History

TB · last 107-34.2 scored · 2.7 allowed a game

WWLWWWLWLW

Home 55-26Road 43-38Run diff +86

CLE · last 105-53.9 scored · 3.3 allowed a game

LLLWWWWLWL

Home 41-40Road 44-37Run diff +11

Starters' numbers are their season going into the game; weather is the first-pitch forecast; lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. Descriptive data only, there is no MLB model. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.