Rays at Guardians: MLB, Oct 15, 2026

The Guardians beat the Rays 3–2 at Progressive Field on Oct 15, 2026.

FinalThu, Oct 15Progressive Field

League Championship SeriesGame 3 · CLE leads 2-1Bracket →

Tampa Bay RaysRegular season 98-64

2

Cleveland GuardiansRegular season 85-77

3

Run line

CLE -1.5

(+176)

Total

6.5

TB ML

+109

CLE ML

−125

Closing line · 3 books · best TB +112 FanDuel · CLE −122 DraftKings

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0
CLE	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	x	3	6	0

TB2atCLE3FinalThu, Oct 15Run lineCLE -1.5Total6.5

RecapProps (22)StatsHead to headOdds

Box scoreiEvery hitter and pitcher's line from the game. Batting order, substitutes indented; W marks the winning pitcher.◷History

Tampa Bay Rays

Hitters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	2B	3B	HR	SB
Y. DíazYandy Díaz1B	4	1	1	0	0	1	1
J. ArandaJonathan Aranda3B	4	0	0	0	0	2
J. CamineroJunior Caminero3B	4	0	0	0	0	4
V. Mesa Jr.Victor Mesa Jr.CF	3	1	0	0	1	1
C. SimpsonChandler SimpsonCF	3	0	1	2	0	0		1
L. HicksLiam HicksC	3	0	0	0	0	2
J. DeLucaJonny DeLucaCF	3	0	0	0	0	0
R. PalaciosRichie PalaciosRF	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
T. WallsTaylor WallsSS	3	0	0	0	0	2
Totals	30	2	3	2	1	13

2B Díaz, Palacios · 3B Simpson

Pitchers	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P
G. JaxGriffin Jax	4.0	5	3	2	2	1	67
T. WellsTyler Wells	2.0	1	0	0	4		26
S. MatzSteven Matz	2.0	0	0	0	2		25

Cleveland Guardians

Hitters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	2B	3B	HR	SB
S. KwanSteven KwanLF	4	0	0	0	0	1
J. RamírezJosé Ramírez3B	3	0	2	0	1	0				1
C. DeLauterChase DeLauterRF	4	0	0	0	0	2
J. AdellJo AdellDH	2	1	0	0	1	1
N. LoweNathaniel Lowe1B	3	0	1	1	0	2	1
T. BazzanaTravis Bazzana2B	3	0	0	0	0	1
P. BaileyPatrick BaileyC	3	1	1	0	0	0
P. HalpinPetey HalpinLF	3	1	1	2	0	1			1
B. RocchioBrayan RocchioSS	3	0	1	0	0	0
Totals	28	3	6	3	2	8

2B Lowe · HR Halpin · SB Ramírez

Pitchers	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P
G. WilliamsGavin WilliamsW	5.0	2	2	1	9		70
D. EspinoDaniel Espino	1.0	0	0	0	1		12
E. SabrowskiErik Sabrowski	1.0	0	0	0	1		10
H. GaddisHunter Gaddis	0.2	1	0	0	0		9
C. SmithCade Smith	1.1	0	0	0	2		18

Park and weatheriThe park, roof and first-pitch weather. The little field is drawn from the park's posted wall distances; the streaks show the wind's direction relative to center field (CF at the top).

Open air · Cleveland

Progressive Field

62°F

Sunny

7 mphOut to CFLight wind.

Surface

Grass

Start

Day

Park factoriRuns this park adds or removes (100 = neutral; higher favors hitters), home vs road over three seasons. Rank 1 = most runs.

1056th of 30

Walls: LF 325 · LCF 370 · CF 405 · RCF 375 · RF 325 ftSee all parks ›

Plate umpireiCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History

Last 40 games since Aug 4, 2025

Bill Miller

Strikeouts

per game, both teams

16.5

≈ in line with the league average (16.9)

Walks

per game, both teams

6.3

≈ in line with the league average (6.6)

Runs

per game, both teams

9.6

≈ in line with the league average (9.0)

Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 3,180 league games, 40 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.

Going into the game · starters, recent formShowHide▸

Starters, season numbers going iniEach starter's season stats before this game; green marks the better side (lower is better for ERA, WHIP, BB/9, HR/9). The last four rows are tracking data on batted balls and swings; a dash means too few pitches are tracked.◷History

TB

Griffin Jax

RHP · 23 starts

CLE

Gavin Williams

RHP · 32 starts

TBCLE

3.53

ERA?Earned runs per nine innings this season, going into the game. Lower is better.

3.76

1.18

WHIP?Walks plus hits per inning pitched. Lower is better.

1.11

9.30

K/9?Strikeouts per nine innings.

12.11

2.80

BB/9?Walks per nine innings. Lower is better.

2.98

1.20

HR/9?Home runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is better.

1.37

112.3

Innings?Innings pitched this season (as a starter and reliever).

184.3

.317

xwOBA against?Expected wOBA on the contact he allows, from exit speed and launch angle. Lower is better.

.302

30.0%

Whiff %?Share of swings that miss. Higher is better for a pitcher.

32.8%

39.2%

Hard-hit % against?Share of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder. Lower is better.

46.6%

8.5%

Barrel % against?Share of batted balls hit at the speed and angle that most often become extra-base hits. Lower is better.

11.4%

TB · last 3 starts

• 09-26 @ PHI3.0 IP · 1 K · 2 H · 0 BB0 ER
• 09-20 vs BOS5.0 IP · 5 K · 3 H · 2 BB0 ER
• 09-15 vs OAK5.0 IP · 7 K · 2 H · 0 BB0 ER

Against this opponent since last season: 1 start, 1.0 IP, 0.00 ERA, 1 K.

CLE · last 3 starts

• 10-10 vs CWS5.7 IP · 12 K · 1 H · 2 BB0 ER
• 10-05 vs CWS5.0 IP · 11 K · 4 H · 3 BB2 ER
• 09-25 @ KC3.3 IP · 4 K · 5 H · 4 BB4 ER

Against this opponent since last season: 2 starts, 14.7 IP, 0.61 ERA, 12 K.

Season numbers to date; a starter with few innings has a noisy line.

Recent formiLast ten games (hover for scores), runs for and against per game, and home/road splits.◷History

TB · last 106-43.9 scored · 3.6 allowed a game

LLWWLWWWLW

Home 55-26Road 43-38Run diff +86

CLE · last 106-45.6 scored · 3.8 allowed a game

WWLLLWWWWL

Home 41-40Road 44-37Run diff +11

Starters' numbers are their season going into the game; weather is the first-pitch forecast; lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. Descriptive data only, there is no MLB model. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.