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ProbetricsProbetrics

Diamondbacks at Rockies: MLB, Sep 23, 2026

FinalWed, Sep 23Coors FieldGame 2 of 3
Colorado Rockies58-104 · L1
3
Team123456789RHE
AZ400000010580
COL011000010371

Box scoreEvery hitter and pitcher's line from the game. Batting order, substitutes indented; W marks the winning pitcher.History

Park and weatherThe park, roof and first-pitch weather. The little field is drawn from the park's posted wall distances; the streaks show the wind's direction relative to center field (CF at the top).

CF
Open air · Denver
Coors Field
72°F
Cloudy
10 mphL To RCrosswind.
Surface
Grass
Start
Night
Park factorRuns this park adds or removes (100 = neutral; higher favors hitters), home vs road over three seasons. Rank 1 = most runs.
1242nd of 30
Walls: LF 347 · LCF 390 · CF 415 · RCF 375 · RF 350 ft

Plate umpireCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.History

Last 39 games since Aug 13, 2025
Nestor Ceja
Strikeouts
per game, both teams
17.2
in line with the league average (16.9)
Walks
per game, both teams
6.5
in line with the league average (6.6)
Runs
per game, both teams
8.8
in line with the league average (9.0)

Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 2,989 league games, 39 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.

Going into the game · starters, recent form

Starters, season numbers going inEach starter's season stats before this game; green marks the better side (lower is better for ERA, WHIP, BB/9, HR/9). The last four rows are tracking data on batted balls and swings; a dash means too few pitches are tracked.History

AZ
Merrill Kelly
RHP · 28 starts
COL
Mason Adams
RHP · 5 starts
AZCOL
5.00
ERAEarned runs per nine innings this season, going into the game. Lower is better.
5.09
1.47
WHIPWalks plus hits per inning pitched. Lower is better.
1.65
6.38
K/9Strikeouts per nine innings.
9.00
3.96
BB/9Walks per nine innings. Lower is better.
4.70
1.61
HR/9Home runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is better.
2.35
156.7
InningsInnings pitched this season (as a starter and reliever).
23.0
.377
xwOBA againstExpected wOBA on the contact he allows, from exit speed and launch angle. Lower is better.
—
21.6%
Whiff %Share of swings that miss. Higher is better for a pitcher.
—
41.5%
Hard-hit % againstShare of batted balls hit 95 mph or harder. Lower is better.
—
11.0%
Barrel % againstShare of batted balls hit at the speed and angle that most often become extra-base hits. Lower is better.
—
AZ · last 3 starts
  • 09-16 vs MIA4.7 IP · 9 K · 7 H · 2 BB3 ER
  • 09-11 vs TEX4.3 IP · 3 K · 2 H · 3 BB1 ER
  • 09-04 @ HOU6.0 IP · 4 K · 7 H · 0 BB3 ER

Against this opponent since last season: 4 starts, 27.0 IP, 3.00 ERA, 23 K.

COL · last 3 starts
  • 09-16 vs SD4.3 IP · 1 K · 8 H · 3 BB6 ER
  • 09-11 @ DET5.0 IP · 5 K · 2 H · 3 BB1 ER
  • 09-05 vs STL4.7 IP · 7 K · 8 H · 1 BB3 ER

Season numbers to date; a starter with few innings has a noisy line.

Recent formLast ten games (hover for scores), runs for and against per game, and home/road splits.History

AZ · last 105-55.2 scored · 4.7 allowed a game
WLLWLLLWWW
Home 45-36Road 41-40Run diff +9
COL · last 102-84.1 scored · 6.5 allowed a game
LLLWLLLWLL
Home 32-49Road 26-55Run diff -192

Starters' numbers are their season going into the game; weather is the first-pitch forecast; lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. Descriptive data only, there is no MLB model. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.