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ProbetricsProbetrics

Blue Jays at Orioles: MLB, Sep 23, 2026

FinalWed, Sep 23Oriole Park at Camden YardsGame 3 of 3
2
4
Team123456789RHE
TOR000000002260
BAL30010000x441

Box scoreEvery hitter and pitcher's line from the game. Batting order, substitutes indented; W marks the winning pitcher.History

Park and weatherThe park, roof and first-pitch weather. The little field is drawn from the park's posted wall distances; the streaks show the wind's direction relative to center field (CF at the top).

CF
Open air · Baltimore
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
65°F
Partly Cloudy
15 mphIn from CFBlowing in: tends to hold fly balls in.
Surface
Grass
Start
Night
Park factorRuns this park adds or removes (100 = neutral; higher favors hitters), home vs road over three seasons. Rank 1 = most runs.
9721st of 30
Walls: LF 333 · LCF 364 · CF 400 · RCF 373 · RF 318 ft

Plate umpireCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.History

Last 40 games since Jul 22, 2025
Nate Tomlinson
Strikeouts
per game, both teams
16.1
in line with the league average (16.8)
Walks
per game, both teams
6.7
in line with the league average (6.6)
Runs
per game, both teams
9.2
in line with the league average (9.0)

Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 3,281 league games, 40 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.

Going into the game · starters, recent form

Starters, season numbers going inEach starter's season stats before this game; green marks the better side (lower is better for ERA, WHIP, BB/9, HR/9). The last four rows are tracking data on batted balls and swings; a dash means too few pitches are tracked.History

BAL
Trey Gibson
RHP · 7 starts
TORBAL
4.03
ERAEarned runs per nine innings this season, going into the game. Lower is better.
7.36
1.94
WHIPWalks plus hits per inning pitched. Lower is better.
1.91
1.34
K/9Strikeouts per nine innings.
8.18
2.69
BB/9Walks per nine innings. Lower is better.
6.82
1.34
HR/9Home runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is better.
1.91
6.7
InningsInnings pitched this season (as a starter and reliever).
33.0
TOR · last 3 starts

No starts on record yet.

BAL · last 3 starts
  • 06-30 vs CWS2.7 IP · 5 K · 7 H · 6 BB8 ER
  • 06-24 @ LAA4.0 IP · 5 K · 3 H · 2 BB2 ER
  • 06-19 @ LAD5.0 IP · 8 K · 7 H · 4 BB3 ER

Season numbers to date; a starter with few innings has a noisy line.

Recent formLast ten games (hover for scores), runs for and against per game, and home/road splits.History

TOR · last 104-64.3 scored · 4.7 allowed a game
LWWLLWLLWL
Home 42-39Road 37-44Run diff -46
BAL · last 105-53.6 scored · 3.9 allowed a game
WLLWWWLLLW
Home 39-42Road 40-40Run diff -21

Starters' numbers are their season going into the game; weather is the first-pitch forecast; lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. Descriptive data only, there is no MLB model. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.