Field and weatherKickoff conditions and this stadium's scoring vs the league (100 = average; rank 1 = most). History, not a forecast.
Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile
UL end zone ← 100 yards → DEL end zone
60°F
Forecast at kickoff
Wind
7 mph
Light
Precip
—
chance
Roof
Open air
Mild outdoors games: 53.7 points on average · 2,723 games since 2023
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
advanced stats (garbage time excluded) and play-by-play · 2025 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2025 season · ranks of 135
ranks betterranks worseStronger27+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 135 (#1 = best)
UL offensevsDEL defense
UL offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DEL defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.08
#109
+0.25
slight#98
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 65 places
+0.11
#53Stronger
+0.16
#118
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
41%
#59slight
40%
#77
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.
3.45
#95slight
4.04
#108
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.
16.0%
#83
15.8%
slight#65
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.46
#91
1.46
Stronger#44
DEL offensevsUL defense
DEL offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.23
#50Stronger
+0.20
#84
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
−0.01
#109
+0.14
slight#103
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.Widest gap · 59 places
42%
#48Stronger
43%
#107
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.Widest gap · 53 places
3.52
#89
3.33
Stronger#36
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.
15.4%
#68Stronger
13.5%
#109
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.46
#95
1.38
Stronger#52
Every measure, ranked
29 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 135 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
UL offenseDEL defense
Points added / passExpected points added per pass play.
+0.08#109▲
+0.25#98
Pass success rate
35%#127
45%#115
Pass explosivenessAverage points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.
1.60#42
1.55#61
Yards / pass attemptfavors DEL
6.1#124
7.5#89
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards. All plays.favors DEL
7.6%#122
10.7%#89
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.favors DEL
5.5%#75
6.1%#47
Completion %favors DEL
55%#128
62%#71
Interception rate / Interceptions forced
2.6%#73▼
1.9%#99▲
DEL offenseUL defense
Points added / passExpected points added per pass play.favors DEL
+0.23#50▼
+0.20#84▼
Pass success ratefavors DEL
44%#46
45%#112
Pass explosivenessAverage points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.favors UL
1.43#112
1.47#34
Yards / pass attemptfavors DEL
7.0#78
7.7#107
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards. All plays.
10.1%#73▼
10.4%#83
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.favors DEL
4.8%#58▼
5.2%#88
Completion %favors DEL
62%#66
66%#122
Interception rate / Interceptions forcedfavors UL
2.6%#71▼
3.7%#19▼
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:UL scores 59% · allows 54%DEL scores 53% · allows 53%league 52%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 5 in 2026, 12 in 2025
ULDELsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 15.1 scored
League 38% pass
UL7 games
Scored7.7
Allowed12.1
Pass share18%
8–28% · 116 plays
DEL7 games
Scored15.0
Allowed12.1
Pass share56%
52–61% · 224 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 13.2 scored
League 46% pass
UL4 games
Scored21.8
Allowed11.8
Pass share7%
1–12% · 73 plays
DEL4 games
Scored11.3
Allowed13.5
Pass share66%
57–74% · 116 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.2 scored
League 52% pass
UL6 games
Scored8.8
Allowed13.5
Pass share20%
0–45% · 70 plays
DEL6 games
Scored10.2
Allowed17.2
Pass share65%
59–72% · 206 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (a sack counts as a carry, as college stats score it; a few plays whose names could not be matched are missing). The range counts games, not plays. League = every tracked college team's last 17 games (138 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 5 in 2026, 12 in 2025
ULat the half: led 7 · within 3 in 4 · trailed 6 (of 17)
5.6
5.0Q1
10.7
9.7Q2
16.4scored14.7allowedleague 14.6
1st half
3.4
4.6Q3
7.1
7.4Q4
DELat the half: led 7 · within 3 in 4 · trailed 6 (of 17)
3.8
6.8Q1
10.2
9.2Q2
14.0scored16.0allowedleague 14.6
1st half
4.9
9.1Q3
7.2
4.9Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 6.1 · Q2 8.5 · Q3 6.0 · Q4 7.0
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
ULDEL
6-7
Record
7-6
26.0
Points for / game
29.0
29.2
Points against / game
31.0
4-2 / 2-5
Home / road
6-1 / 1-5
L W W W W
Last 5
W W L L W
2025 season only (not a rolling window) · 13 games each.
AdvancedEfficiency and talent measures for both teams; green marks the better side.◷History
ULDEL
−10.1
Team rating (this season)Points better (+) or worse (−) than an average team.
−10.9
0.069
Offense points added / playPoints the offense adds per play, garbage time excluded.
0.132
0.130
Defense points added / playPoints added per play the defense allows; lower is better.
0.181
39% / 46%
Success rate (off / def)
44% / 42%
1.21 / 1.17
Explosiveness (off / def)
1.25 / 1.42
586
Talent compositeRoster talent rating from recruiting; higher = more talent.
243
14%
Returning production
—
2025 season to date, garbage time excluded.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
ULDEL
6-6 · 50%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
4-3 · 57%
Last two seasons (2024–2025), UL 27 games, DEL 13. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2023Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
0ULseriesDEL1
Avg total points
33.0
Meetings
1
They meet only some seasons (1 of the 4 in our history).
2025UL 13 vs DEL 20PlayoffsDEL
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
