Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playJMA Wireless DomeStadium scoring factor 101 (60th of 134, 100 = league average) · 54.5 points a game in 21 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 60.2 points vs 53.7 in mild outdoor games
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
advanced stats (garbage time excluded) and play-by-play · 2025 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2025 season · ranks of 135
ranks betterranks worseStronger27+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 135 (#1 = best)
BC offensevsSYR defense
BC offense ranks better in 5 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SYR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 64 places
+0.19
#62Stronger
+0.36
#126
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.01
#95
+0.06
Stronger#66
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
39%
#77slight
41%
#86
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.
3.39
#98slight
4.15
#113
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.
16.5%
#92slight
13.4%
#114
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.75
#118slight
0.75
#128
SYR offensevsBC defense
SYR offense ranks better in 0 of 6 matchups · BC defense in 5 (3 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.
−0.04
#128
+0.36
slight#124
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 45 places
−0.04
#122
+0.08
Stronger#77
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
35%
#107
41%
slight#92
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.Widest gap · 38 places
2.98
#122
3.82
Stronger#84
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.· even
18.8%
#126
12.3%
#126
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.92
#129
1.00
Stronger#99
Every measure, ranked
29 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 135 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
BC offenseSYR defense
Points added / passExpected points added per pass play.favors BC
+0.19#62
+0.36#126▲
Pass success ratefavors BC
44%#50
46%#120
Pass explosivenessAverage points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.favors SYR
1.40#123
1.54#59
Yards / pass attemptfavors BC
7.4#60
7.8#112
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards. All plays.
10.5%#56▲
10.3%#80▲
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.
7.2%#113
4.0%#114▲
Completion %favors BC
63%#57
66%#121
Interception rate / Interceptions forced
1.3%#16
3.8%#12▼
SYR offenseBC defense
Points added / passExpected points added per pass play.
−0.04#128▼
+0.36#124▲
Pass success ratefavors BC
35%#124
42%#72
Pass explosivenessAverage points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.favors SYR
1.58#51
1.74#126
Yards / pass attempt
6.4#112▼
8.2#121
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards. All plays.favors SYR
9.7%#78▼
11.8%#114
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.
7.1%#112▲
3.1%#128
Completion %
56%#121
64%#100
Interception rate / Interceptions forced
1.2%#14▲
3.2%#34▼
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4–5 in 2026, 12 in 2025, 0–1 in 2024
Points in the 1st half:BC scores 50% · allows 48%SYR scores 55% · allows 51%league 52%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4–5 in 2026, 12 in 2025, 0–1 in 2024
BCSYRsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 15.1 scored
League 38% pass
BC4 games
Scored18.8
Allowed13.8
Pass share42%
26–57% · 113 plays
SYR7 games
Scored14.4
Allowed15.3
Pass share47%
40–55% · 245 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 13.2 scored
League 46% pass
BC7 games
Scored11.1
Allowed14.7
Pass share51%
44–57% · 215 plays
SYR1 game · small sample
Scored6.0
Allowed28.0
Pass share39%
36 plays · too few games for a range
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.2 scored
League 52% pass
BC6 games
Scored7.7
Allowed17.7
Pass share58%
51–64% · 210 plays
SYR9 games
Scored9.7
Allowed14.4
Pass share53%
45–61% · 315 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (a sack counts as a carry, as college stats score it; a few plays whose names could not be matched are missing). The range counts games, not plays. League = every tracked college team's last 17 games (138 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4–5 in 2026, 12 in 2025, 0–1 in 2024
BCat the half: led 4 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 6 (of 17)
4.9
4.9Q1
6.9
9.6Q2
11.8scored14.5allowedleague 14.6
1st half
4.9
6.2Q3
6.1
8.5Q4
SYRat the half: led 7 · within 3 in 1 · trailed 9 (of 17)
4.8
7.4Q1
9.3
9.1Q2
14.1scored16.5allowedleague 14.6
1st half
3.2
7.5Q3
7.3
7.7Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 6.1 · Q2 8.5 · Q3 6.0 · Q4 7.0
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
BCSYR
2-10
Record
3-9
25.4
Points for / game
20.2
32.8
Points against / game
34.9
1-6 / 1-4
Home / road
2-4 / 1-5
W L L L L
Last 5
L L L L L
2025 season only (not a rolling window) · 12 games each.
AdvancedEfficiency and talent measures for both teams; green marks the better side.◷History
BCSYR
−8.5
Team rating (this season)Points better (+) or worse (−) than an average team.
−13.1
0.091
Offense points added / playPoints the offense adds per play, garbage time excluded.
-0.056
0.192
Defense points added / playPoints added per play the defense allows; lower is better.
0.213
42% / 43%
Success rate (off / def)
38% / 45%
1.21 / 1.37
Explosiveness (off / def)
1.19 / 1.32
650
Talent compositeRoster talent rating from recruiting; higher = more talent.
728
62%
Returning production
13%
2025 season to date, garbage time excluded.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
BCSYR
2-14 · 13%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
6-10 · 38%
Last two seasons (2024–2025), BC 25 games, SYR 25. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2023Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
3BCseriesSYR0
Avg total points
47.0
Meetings
3
They have met every season in our history. BC have won the last 3.
2025BC 34 at SYR 12BC
2024SYR 31 at BC 37BC
2023BC 17 at SYR 10BC
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
