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Northwestern (15-19 in 2025–26) hosts Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) on Mar 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · NU defense in 1
NU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSUNU
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSUNUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Martinelli's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37.1 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| Jake West | 31.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Tre Singleton | 26.4 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reid | 25.3 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Clayton | 18.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Max Green | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
MSU offenseper gameNU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NUForAgainst47% of NU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSU 4series4 NU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | NU 66 | MSU 76 | MSU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | MSU 78 | NU 68 | MSU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | NU 49 | MSU 53 | MSU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MSU 74 | NU 88 | NU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | NU 70 | MSU 63 | NU+7 | +7 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | NU 64 | MSU 62 | NU+2 | +2 |
| Jan 2, 2022 | MSU 73 | NU 67 | MSU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2020 | MSU 65 | NU 79 | NU+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | NU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 102.9#323 of 361 | 113.8#85 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +16.2#14 of 361 | −2.9#219 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +10.8#14 of 361 | −1.9#216 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for | 79.2#68 of 361 | 71.7#249 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.