Auburn vs Arkansas Odds, Stats & Props — Feb 16

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

AUB +2.2 · ARK +9.3

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

AUB 7-3 · ARK 8-2

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

AUB 2d · ARK 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

AUB offensevsARK defense

AUB offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ARK defense in 0

Shooting · effective FG%

51.8%

#154slight

51.4%

#182

Turnovers · per 100 plays

12.5%

#30Stronger

13.5%

#252

Offensive rebounding %

37.5%

#14Stronger

30.9%

#199

Free throw rate

33.2%

#9Stronger

22.6%

#85

ARK offensevsAUB defense

ARK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · AUB defense in 0

Shooting · effective FG%

56.2%

#23Stronger

54.0%

#300

Turnovers · per 100 plays

10.6%

#1Stronger

14.1%

#208

Offensive rebounding %

32.1%

#118Stronger

32.4%

#274

Free throw rate

27.0%

#128Stronger

26.1%

#211

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

AUBARK

+3.1 127thNet rating35th +12.8

119.2 36thOffensive rating5th 123.3

116.1 319thDefensive rating204th 110.5

68.8 142ndPace17th 72.5

Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

ARK 3-point shooting
ARK offense 38.4% (14th) vs AUB defense allowing 36.9% (339th)
+325 spots
ARK scoring
ARK offense 89.4 (3rd) vs AUB defense allowing 79.8 (313th)
+310 spots
AUB scoring
AUB offense 82.0 (32nd) vs ARK defense allowing 80.1 (321st)
+289 spots
ARK effective shooting
ARK offense 56.2% (23rd) vs AUB defense allowing 54.0% (300th)
+277 spots
AUB turnovers
AUB offense 12.5% (30th) vs ARK defense allowing 13.5% (252nd)
+222 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

AUB

FLA

SC

ARK

2 days rest

ARK

MISS

ALA

AUB

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

AUB · last 10

16-16 · 316 days rest

Apr 5 vs TLSA2025–26W 92–86
Apr 2 vs ILST2025–26W 88–66
Mar 25 vs NEV2025–26W 75–69
Mar 22 vs SEA2025–26W 91–85
Mar 17 vs USA2025–26W 78–67
Mar 12 @ TENN2025–26L 62–72
Mar 11 vs MSST2025–26W 79–61
Mar 7 @ ALA2025–26L 84–96
Mar 3 vs LSU2025–26W 88–74
Feb 28 vs MISS2025–26L 79–85

7-3 in these

ARK · last 10

25-8 · 326 days rest

Mar 26 @ ARIZ2025–26L 88–109
Mar 21 vs HPU2025–26W 94–88
Mar 19 vs HAW2025–26W 97–78
Mar 15 vs VAN2025–26W 86–75
Mar 14 vs MISS2025–26W 93–90
Mar 13 vs OU2025–26W 82–79
Mar 7 @ MIZ2025–26W 88–84
Mar 4 vs TEX2025–26W 105–85
Feb 28 @ FLA2025–26L 77–111
Feb 25 vs TA&M2025–26W 99–84

8-2 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Auburn Tigers

Arkansas Razorbacks

Darius Acuff Jr.

ARK vs AUB

Player page →

Points No line yet

AUB at ARK

Full breakdown

Darius Acuff Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

AUB rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Keyshawn Hall	34.6	19.4	5.6	2.2
Tahaad Pettiford	34.3	17.7	3.2	4.1
Kevin Overton	32.8	14.2	3.2	1.0
Sebastian Williams-Adams	29.0	5.8	3.3	0.8
Elyjah Freeman	26.7	8.0	4.9	0.8
KeShawn Murphy	24.8	11.3	7.6	1.4
Filip Jovic	15.6	3.7	2.7	0.6
Blake Muschalek	4.8	0.2	0.5	0.1

ARK rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Darius Acuff Jr.	37.9	27.4	3.4	7.0
Trevon Brazile	35.7	13.5	8.1	1.9
Meleek Thomas	33.8	15.5	4.0	1.9
Billy Richmond III	33.7	14.7	4.5	2.4
Malique Ewin	22.7	9.1	5.8	0.8
D.J. Wagner	22.2	7.1	1.8	1.9
Karter Knox	18.0	4.3	2.5	1.0
Nick Pringle	17.5	3.5	3.1	0.4

Team rankings (2025–26)History

AUB offenseper gameARK defense

Effective FG%

154th51.8%

51.4%182nd

Turnover %

30th12.5%

13.5%252nd

Offensive rebound %

14th37.5%

30.9%199th

Free throw rate

9th33.2%

22.6%85th

Points

32nd82.0

80.1321st

Field goal %

135th45.4%

45.3%220th

2-point %

117th53.2%

53.7%256th

3-point %

226th33.0%

31.9%64th

Free throw %

101st74.5%

72.0%155th

Rebounds

94th36.3

34.6173rd

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

AUBForAgainst

1st half

36.8

37.6

2nd half

43.6

42.5

Game

80.4

80.1

46% of AUB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

ARKForAgainst

1st half

42.8

39.1

2nd half

48.1

46.5

Game

90.9

85.6

47% of ARK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

9 meetings

AUB 4series5 ARK

Last 9AAAAAAAAA

Avg total

150.9

combined points

Avg margin

AUB 4.4

per meeting

Biggest win

AUB +32

Jan 6, 2024

Last meeting

ARK won

Feb 14, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026AUB 1-1 ARK

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 14, 2026	AUB 75	ARK 88	ARK+13	+13
Jan 10, 2026	ARK 73	AUB 95	AUB+22	+22

2025AUB 1-0 ARK

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 19, 2025	ARK 60	AUB 67	AUB+7	+7

2024AUB 1-0 ARK

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 6, 2024	AUB 83	ARK 51	AUB+32	+32

2023AUB 1-1 ARK

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 9, 2023	ARK 76	AUB 73	ARK+3	+3
Jan 7, 2023	ARK 59	AUB 72	AUB+13	+13

2022AUB 0-1 ARK

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 8, 2022	AUB 76	ARK 80	ARK+4	+4

2021AUB 0-1 ARK

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 20, 2021	AUB 73	ARK 75	ARK+2	+2

2020AUB 0-1 ARK

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 30, 2020	ARK 97	AUB 85	ARK+12	+12

Measure	AUB14-16 · last 30 games	ARK23-7 · last 30 games	League
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	−7.3#231 of 361	+16.2#19 of 361	−0.5
Possessions per game	68.5#154 of 361	72.4#15 of 361	68.0
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	47.2%#145 of 361	45.8%#265 of 361	46.9%
Margin per 100 possessions	+1.3#147 of 361	+11.1#41 of 361	−0.7

Measure	AUB14-16 · last 30 games	ARK23-7 · last 30 games	League
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	−7.3#231 of 361	+16.2#19 of 361	−0.5
Possessions per game	68.5#154 of 361	72.4#15 of 361	68.0
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	47.2%#145 of 361	45.8%#265 of 361	46.9%
Margin per 100 possessions	+1.3#147 of 361	+11.1#41 of 361	−0.7

Auburn vs Arkansas — College Basketball, Feb 16, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory