Illinois vs Purdue Odds, Stats & Props — Feb 12

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

ILL +14.6 · PUR +11.5

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

ILL 6-4 · PUR 7-3

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

ILL 2d · PUR 5d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

ILL offensevsPUR defense

ILL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.1%

#37Stronger

52.3%

#227

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.1%

#4Stronger

13.9%

#228

Offensive rebounding %

38.7%

#3slight

26.4%

#24

Free throw rate

26.0%

#157

18.7%

Stronger#15

PUR offensevsILL defense

PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ILL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

57.6%

#11slight

47.6%

#35

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.6%

#9Stronger

10.2%

#361

Offensive rebounding %

36.3%

#23slight

27.0%

#38

Free throw rate

21.3%

#310

15.1%

Stronger#1

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

ILLPUR

+21.8 7thNet rating14th +17.7

126.6 1stOffensive rating2nd 125.7

104.7 70thDefensive rating132nd 108.0

66.7 254thPace321st 64.9

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

PUR turnovers
PUR offense 11.6% (9th) vs ILL defense allowing 10.2% (361st)
+352 spots
ILL turnovers
ILL offense 11.1% (4th) vs PUR defense allowing 13.9% (228th)
+224 spots
ILL 2-point shooting
ILL offense 58.2% (17th) vs PUR defense allowing 53.1% (237th)
+220 spots
ILL effective shooting
ILL offense 55.1% (37th) vs PUR defense allowing 52.3% (227th)
+190 spots
PUR 3-point shooting
PUR offense 37.9% (17th) vs ILL defense allowing 31.4% (45th)
+28 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

ILL

MSU

MICH

PUR

2 days rest3rd straight road game

PUR

RUTG

NU

ILL

5 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

ILL · last 10

24-8 · 313 days rest

Apr 4 @ CONN2025–26L 62–71
Mar 28 vs IOWA2025–26W 71–59
Mar 26 @ HOU2025–26W 65–55
Mar 21 vs VCU2025–26W 76–55
Mar 19 vs PENN2025–26W 105–70
Mar 13 vs WIS2025–26L 88–91
Mar 8 @ MD2025–26W 78–72
Mar 3 vs ORE2025–26W 80–54
Feb 27 vs MICH2025–26L 70–84
Feb 21 @ UCLA2025–26L 94–95

6-4 in these

PUR · last 10

27-8 · 320 days rest

Mar 28 @ ARIZ2025–26L 64–79
Mar 26 vs TEX2025–26W 79–77
Mar 22 vs MIA2025–26W 79–69
Mar 15 @ MICH2025–26W 80–72
Mar 14 @ UCLA2025–26W 73–66
Mar 13 @ NEB2025–26W 74–58
Mar 12 vs NU2025–26W 81–68
Mar 7 vs WIS2025–26L 93–97
Mar 4 @ NU2025–26W 70–66
Mar 1 @ OSU2025–26L 74–82

7-3 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Illinois Fighting Illini

Purdue Boilermakers

Keaton Wagler

ILL vs PUR

Player page →

Points No line yet

ILL at PUR

Full breakdown

Keaton Wagler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

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hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

ILL rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Keaton Wagler	37.1	20.0	4.4	5.1
David Mirkovic	31.3	14.9	7.1	2.7
Kylan Boswell	27.4	10.1	3.6	3.0
Tomislav Ivisic	27.1	9.5	6.3	2.0
Andrej Stojakovic	26.5	12.9	4.8	1.1
Jake Davis	25.9	7.4	2.9	1.1
Ben Humrichous	24.5	6.7	4.1	0.9
Zvonimir Ivisic	18.7	6.5	4.6	0.2

PUR rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Braden Smith	35.8	12.5	3.5	8.8
Fletcher Loyer	31.2	15.4	2.5	2.6
Trey Kaufman-Renn	29.4	15.0	8.4	2.5
C.J. Cox	24.5	7.9	2.8	1.3
Oscar Cluff	24.4	9.1	6.9	1.5
Jack Benter	15.3	4.2	2.3	0.8
Gicarri Harris	14.7	4.5	1.3	0.5
Omer Mayer	13.8	5.7	0.9	0.9

Team rankings (2025–26)History

ILL offenseper gamePUR defense

Effective FG%

37th55.1%

52.3%227th

Turnover %

4th11.1%

13.9%228th

Offensive rebound %

3rd38.7%

26.4%24th

Free throw rate

157th26.0%

18.7%15th

Points

18th84.4

70.162nd

Field goal %

85th46.3%

44.6%171st

2-point %

17th58.2%

53.1%237th

3-point %

140th34.7%

34.2%196th

Free throw %

7th78.9%

72.0%153rd

Rebounds

7th40.7

28.42nd

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

ILLForAgainst

1st half

37.6

31.5

2nd half

43.0

37.8

Game

80.6

69.3

47% of ILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

PURForAgainst

1st half

38.5

33.3

2nd half

39.9

38.8

Game

78.4

72.1

49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

8 meetings

ILL 3series5 PUR

Last 8IIPPPPPI

Avg total

156.8

combined points

Avg margin

PUR 2.3

per meeting

Biggest win

PUR +16

Feb 8, 2022

Last meeting

ILL won

Jan 24, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026ILL 1-0 PUR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 24, 2026	ILL 88	PUR 82	ILL+6	+6

2025ILL 1-0 PUR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 7, 2025	PUR 80	ILL 88	ILL+8	+8

2024ILL 0-2 PUR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 5, 2024	PUR 77	ILL 71	PUR+6	+6
Jan 5, 2024	ILL 78	PUR 83	PUR+5	+5

2023ILL 0-1 PUR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 5, 2023	ILL 71	PUR 76	PUR+5	+5

2022ILL 0-2 PUR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 8, 2022	ILL 68	PUR 84	PUR+16	+16
Jan 17, 2022	PUR 96	ILL 88	PUR+8	+8

2021ILL 1-0 PUR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 2, 2021	PUR 58	ILL 66	ILL+8	+8

Measure	ILL22-8 · last 30 games	PUR22-8 · last 30 games	League
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	45.1%#320 of 361	46.5%#216 of 361	46.9%
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+8.6#7 of 361	+10.4#71 of 361	−0.5
Possessions per game	66.1#277 of 361	64.5#333 of 361	68.0
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.3#273 of 361	108.3#234 of 361	109.9

Measure	ILL22-8 · last 30 games	PUR22-8 · last 30 games	League
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	45.1%#320 of 361	46.5%#216 of 361	46.9%
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+8.6#7 of 361	+10.4#71 of 361	−0.5
Possessions per game	66.1#277 of 361	64.5#333 of 361	68.0
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.3#273 of 361	108.3#234 of 361	109.9

Illinois vs Purdue — College Basketball, Feb 12, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory