Harvard (16-12 in 2025–26) hosts Yale (22-6 in 2025–26) on Jan 29, 2027, 7:00 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
YALE offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · HARV defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
HARV offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · YALE defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Robert Hinton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend | 33.5 | 16.6 | 7.2 | 4.4 |
| Isaac Celiscar | 33.1 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 3.6 |
| Casey Simmons | 29.0 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Trevor Mullin | 28.2 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Samson Aletan | 25.9 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Brathwaite | 21.3 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Riley Fox | 16.9 | 7.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Devon Arlington | 12.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Batties III | 36.0 | 13.4 | 6.9 | 2.4 |
| Tey Barbour | 35.4 | 15.1 | 5.0 | 1.5 |
| Robert Hinton | 35.3 | 17.5 | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| Chandler Pigge | 34.6 | 11.9 | 6.5 | 3.1 |
| Ben Eisendrath | 30.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Austin Hunt | 25.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| Frankie Mannino | 9.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of YALE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of HARV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE+1 | +1 | ||
| Jan 31, 2026 | HARV+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE+20 | +20 | ||
| Jan 27, 2024 | YALE+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2023 | YALE+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 7, 2023 | YALE+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | YALE+3 | +3 | ||
| Feb 5, 2022 | YALE+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | YALE24-6 · last 30 games | HARV18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 80.2#55 of 361 | 69.8#280 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 122.2#9 of 361 | 108.3#203 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +7.2#14 of 361 | +3.3#203 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.5#200 of 361 | 104.0#306 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.