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Purdue Fort Wayne (14-15 in 2025–26) hosts Northern Kentucky (17-14 in 2025–26) on Jan 29, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NKU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PFW defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
PFW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NKU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NKUPFW
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NKUPFWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Corey Hadnot II's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Dozier | 32.4 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 2.5 |
| Donovan Oday | 32.1 | 20.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Ethan Elliott | 31.2 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| LJ Wells | 31.2 | 17.9 | 6.0 | 2.5 |
| Dan Gherezgher | 28.9 | 15.9 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Kael Robinson | 26.7 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| Shawn Nelson | 12.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary | 10.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II | 34.9 | 20.5 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Mikale Stevenson | 30.9 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| Maximus Nelson | 29.9 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. | 29.1 | 12.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Darius Duffy | 19.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| Deangelo Elisee | 16.5 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Chris Morgan | 13.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| EJ Mosley | 11.8 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
NKU offenseper gamePFW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NKUForAgainst46% of NKU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PFWForAgainst47% of PFW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NKU 7series3 PFW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | PFW 71 | NKU 87 | NKU+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | NKU 77 | PFW 79 | PFW+2 | +2 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | NKU 79 | PFW 74 | NKU+5 | +5 |
| Jan 1, 2025 | PFW 68 | NKU 69 | NKU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | PFW 63 | NKU 58 | PFW+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | NKU 60 | PFW 73 | PFW+13 | +13 |
| Feb 17, 2023 | NKU 63 | PFW 50 | NKU+13 | +13 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | PFW 54 | NKU 74 | NKU+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | NKU 57 | PFW 43 | NKU+14 | +14 |
| Jan 28, 2022 | PFW 49 | NKU 59 | NKU+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NKU17-13 · last 30 games | PFW14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.0%#254 of 361 | 49.2%#23 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 1st half points for | 38.4#45 of 361 | 33.3#244 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.1#93 of 361 | −6.7#267 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.5#70 of 361 | 107.7#216 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.