Georgia (22-10 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UGA defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
UGA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 73 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Cain | 29.8 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 3.1 |
| Marcus Millender | 29.1 | 12.1 | 2.7 | 4.3 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 28.1 | 16.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Kanon Catchings | 24.9 | 14.3 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Somtochukwu Cyril | 22.4 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| Jordan Ross | 19.7 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Kareem Stagg | 14.6 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Dylan James | 12.9 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of UGA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | UGA+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | MSST+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | MSST+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | UGA+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2022 | MSST+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2020 | MSST+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | UGA20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | −4.7#272 of 361 | +7.7#40 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.6#266 of 361 | +10.4#45 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#208 of 361 | 121.0#17 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 1st half points for | 36.1#112 of 361 | 42.5#4 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.