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Missouri (20-12 in 2025–26) hosts Kentucky (21-13 in 2025–26) on Jan 9, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · MIZ defense in 0
MIZ offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UK defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UKMIZ
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UKMIZNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Otega Oweh's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh | 35.7 | 21.3 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 33.6 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| Collin Chandler | 31.1 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Malachi Moreno | 23.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 21.9 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 16.4 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Brandon Garrison | 16.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Kam Williams | 12.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. | 35.9 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Jayden Stone | 31.7 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| T.O. Barrett | 29.7 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Trent Pierce | 29.5 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 23.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 21.2 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 |
| Jacob Crews | 17.7 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Trent Burns | 10.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
UK offenseper gameMIZ defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UKForAgainst44% of UK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MIZForAgainst44% of MIZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UK 4series3 MIZ| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | UK 78 | MIZ 72 | UK+6 | +6 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | MIZ 73 | UK 68 | MIZ+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | UK 91 | MIZ 83 | UK+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | MIZ 77 | UK 90 | UK+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | UK 75 | MIZ 89 | MIZ+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | MIZ 56 | UK 83 | UK+27 | +27 |
| Feb 3, 2021 | UK 70 | MIZ 75 | MIZ+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UK18-12 · last 30 games | MIZ18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.5%#345 of 361 | 47.5%#112 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.9%#33 of 361 | 45.8%#266 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 68.7#143 of 361 | 67.7#202 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.3#209 of 361 | 111.2#154 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.