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Arkansas State (18-12 in 2025–26) hosts App State (17-13 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
APP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ARST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
ARST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · APP defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
APPARST
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
APPARSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Kasen Jennings's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings | 35.0 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 34.6 | 16.1 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| Jalen Tot | 33.9 | 12.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Luke Wilson | 30.7 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 0.6 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 26.8 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 0.4 |
| Eren Banks | 24.1 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Chad Moodie | 10.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon | 29.8 | 15.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Jalen Hampton | 28.2 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 1.5 |
| Chandler Jackson | 27.7 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Matt Hayman | 23.2 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| Aly Tounkara | 23.2 | 5.6 | 8.0 | 0.5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| TJ Caldwell | 19.1 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Joey Chammaa | 15.9 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
APP offenseper gameARST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
APPForAgainst45% of APP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ARSTForAgainst48% of ARST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
APP 3series3 ARST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | APP 55 | ARST 65 | ARST+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | ARST 67 | APP 65 | ARST+2 | +2 |
| Mar 1, 2024 | ARST 57 | APP 80 | APP+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | ARST 51 | APP 63 | APP+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | APP 60 | ARST 62 | ARST+2 | +2 |
| Jan 27, 2022 | ARST 54 | APP 61 | APP+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | APP17-13 · last 30 games | ARST18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 63.7#352 of 361 | 72.6#14 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 1st half points for | 31.2#310 of 361 | 38.5#44 of 361 | 34.8 |
| 1st half points against | 30.5#353 of 361 | 36.3#108 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.9#183 of 361 | 112.6#103 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.