Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) hosts Rutgers (14-19 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
RUTG offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · RUTG defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tariq Francis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariq Francis | 30.1 | 18.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. | 27.7 | 9.2 | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| Jamichael Davis | 24.5 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Dylan Grant | 23.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Harun Zrno | 21.3 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole | 19.9 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 0.5 |
| Lino Mark | 19.5 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Kaden Powers | 17.2 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of RUTG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | PUR+16 | +16 | ||
| Mar 4, 2025 | PUR+29 | +29 | ||
| Jan 9, 2025 | PUR+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | PUR+28 | +28 | ||
| Jan 28, 2024 | PUR+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | PUR+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 2, 2023 | RUTG+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | PUR+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | RUTG+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2020 | RUTG+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | RUTG11-19 · last 30 games | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 43.5%#357 of 361 | 49.0%#19 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin | −6.7#304 of 361 | +10.9#13 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.1#303 of 361 | +16.9#12 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.7#275 of 361 | 125.3#1 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.