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VMI (2-26 in 2025–26) hosts East Tennessee State (21-11 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ETSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · VMI defense in 0
VMI offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ETSU defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ETSUVMI
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ETSUVMINo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
TJ Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II | 34.2 | 14.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Blake Barkley | 30.1 | 14.9 | 6.6 | 1.3 |
| Cam Morris III | 26.1 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| Jaylen Smith | 24.6 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Jordan McCullum | 24.2 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| Maki Johnson | 24.1 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Allen Strothers | 20.4 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Gabe Sisk | 11.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 38.5 | 17.4 | 7.1 | 1.1 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 34.7 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 5.7 |
| AJ Clark | 31.0 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 27.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Cal Liston | 26.9 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 26.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 22.3 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 0.5 |
| Walker Andrews | 11.9 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
ETSU offenseper gameVMI defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ETSUForAgainst46% of ETSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VMIForAgainst45% of VMI's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ETSU 9series1 VMI| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETSU 87 | VMI 70 | ETSU+17 | +17 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | VMI 67 | ETSU 81 | ETSU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | ETSU 62 | VMI 55 | ETSU+7 | +7 |
| Jan 1, 2025 | VMI 69 | ETSU 84 | ETSU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | VMI 66 | ETSU 98 | ETSU+32 | +32 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | VMI 69 | ETSU 82 | ETSU+13 | +13 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | ETSU 74 | VMI 73 | ETSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | VMI 65 | ETSU 69 | ETSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | ETSU 64 | VMI 50 | ETSU+14 | +14 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | ETSU 79 | VMI 83 | VMI+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ETSU20-10 · last 30 games | VMI3-27 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.4#47 of 361 | −22.3#356 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +2.8#47 of 361 | −8.8#354 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 2nd half points against | 35.1#338 of 361 | 43.1#33 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.3#272 of 361 | 125.0#4 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.