VMI vs East Tennessee State Odds, Stats & Props

Line scoreHistory

Team	1st	2nd	Final
VMI	38	31	69
ETSU	38	46	84

Top performersHistory

VMI Keydets

Rickey Bradley Jr.G
14 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
4-11 FG
0-1 3PT
Linus HolmstromG
14 pts · 1 ast
4-8 FG
4-7 3PT
TJ JohnsonF
13 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
3-7 FG
1-5 3PT

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

John Buggs IIIG
33 pts · 3 reb · 3 ast
11-18 FG
10-16 3PT
Jaden SeymourF
18 pts · 10 reb · 10 ast · Triple-double
8-11 FG
1-3 3PT
Quimari PetersonG
12 pts · 4 reb · 6 ast
5-14 FG
2-8 3PT

Box scoreHistory

every player

VMI	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Rickey Bradley Jr.	38	14	7	7	0	0	3	4-11	0-1	6-6	—
TJ Johnson	36	13	7	2	1	0	1	3-7	1-5	6-9	—
Augustinas Kiudulas	32	13	6	0	2	0	1	5-12	2-2	1-4	—
Kaden Stuckey	10	4	1	0	1	1	1	2-3	0-1	0-0	—
Tan Yildizoglu	7	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0-0	0-0	—
Linus Holmstrom	33	14	0	1	1	1	2	4-8	4-7	2-2	—
Cal Liston	28	4	5	2	1	1	1	1-2	0-0	2-2	—
Robert Peters	10	6	5	2	0	0	1	3-7	0-1	0-0	—
Walker Andrews	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	—
Maurice Wright Jr.	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	1-2	—
Totals		69	31	14	6	3	11	22-52	7-17	18-25

ETSU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
John Buggs III	37	33	3	3	1	0	1	11-18	10-16	1-1	—
Quimari Peterson	35	12	4	6	0	0	0	5-14	2-8	0-1	—
Jaden Seymour	34	18	10	10	1	2	3	8-11	1-3	1-2	—
Allen Strothers	30	6	2	4	1	0	2	2-3	1-1	1-2	—
Roosevelt Wheeler	11	0	3	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	—
Gabe Sisk	23	4	9	0	2	0	0	0-5	0-4	4-4	—
Maki Johnson	11	6	2	1	0	0	0	2-6	2-6	0-1	—
DJ Hughes	11	2	2	0	1	1	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	—
Curt Lewis	5	3	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	—
Davion Bradford	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	—
Totals		84	36	25	7	3	7	30-62	17-40	7-11

Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.

Team statsHistory

VMIETSU

42.3%

Field goals

48.4%

41.2%

Three-pointers

42.5%

72.0%

Free throws

63.6%

34

Rebounds

36

10

Offensive rebounds

11

14

Assists

25

11

Turnovers

8

6

Steals

7

3

Blocks

3

28

Points in the paint

22

13

Fast-break points

11

14

Fouls

17

This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).

See the model’s call (graded) →

Going into the game · matchup numbers, form, rest

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 360 (#1 = best)

VMI offensevsETSU defense

VMI offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ETSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

48.3%

#289

50.4%

Stronger#151

Turnovers · per 100 plays

16.3%

#277

16.5%

Stronger#83

Offensive rebounding %

25.4%

#310

29.6%

Stronger#168

Free throw rate

28.7%

#40Stronger

23.4%

#153

ETSU offensevsVMI defense

ETSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · VMI defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

50.1%

#219Stronger

53.7%

#303

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.5%

#63Stronger

14.8%

#187

Offensive rebounding %

35.4%

#30Stronger

31.7%

#274

Free throw rate

22.4%

#231

20.0%

Stronger#57

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 360 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

VMIETSU

−9.6 301stNet rating94th +5.8

101.7 299thOffensive rating117th 110.0

111.3 277thDefensive rating94th 104.2

67.7 189thPace329th 64.7

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

ETSU offensive rebounding
ETSU offense 35.4% (30th) vs VMI defense allowing 31.7% (274th)
+244 spots
ETSU turnovers
ETSU offense 13.5% (63rd) vs VMI defense allowing 14.8% (187th)
+124 spots
VMI getting to the line
VMI offense 28.7% (40th) vs ETSU defense allowing 23.4% (153rd)
+113 spots
ETSU 3-point shooting
ETSU offense 34.8% (119th) vs VMI defense allowing 34.3% (212th)
+93 spots

VMI · last 10

11-18 · 10 days rest

Dec 21 @ RICHL 71–78
Nov 29 @ GWL 64–77
Nov 26 @ L-MDL 67–70
Nov 22 @ DAVL 66–93
Nov 18 @ PITTL 48–93
Nov 16 vs CHSOW 80–69
Nov 15 vs TNTCL 71–72
Nov 9 @ BELLW 76–71
Mar 8 @ ETSU2023–24L 66–98
Mar 2 vs WOF2023–24L 62–74

2-8 in these

ETSU · last 10

16-13 · 10 days rest

Dec 21 @ KCL 66–73
Dec 18 vs ELONW 84–58
Dec 14 @ JAXL 52–60
Dec 7 @ WICHL 87–96
Dec 3 @ JMUL 61–71
Nov 30 vs APSUW 79–57
Nov 27 @ CLTW 75–55
Nov 22 vs UPSTW 87–76
Nov 16 @ DAVL 70–76
Nov 8 vs EKUL 78–82

4-6 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

VMI Keydets

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

VMI rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
TJ Johnson	33.4	12.8	3.6	0.9
Rickey Bradley Jr.	33.0	13.1	5.3	2.8
Augustinas Kiudulas	30.0	13.4	7.1	2.3
Tan Yildizoglu	27.6	7.3	3.6	4.1
Linus Holmstrom	23.5	9.0	1.3	0.9
Kaden Stuckey	16.5	6.4	2.6	0.8
AJ Clark	14.0	3.4	2.3	0.8
Robert Peters	11.4	2.5	1.8	0.1

ETSU rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Quimari Peterson	33.7	19.3	4.7	4.9
John Buggs III	31.7	12.6	1.9	1.4
Jaden Seymour	31.5	17.6	6.2	2.1
Karon Boyd	29.8	8.6	6.6	1.1
Allen Strothers	16.4	1.7	1.3	2.0
Davion Bradford	14.1	2.0	2.7	0.3
Curt Lewis	13.8	5.0	2.4	0.6
DJ Hughes	13.7	1.2	3.8	0.8

Team rankings (2024–25)History

VMI offenseper gameETSU defense

Effective FG%

289th48.3%

50.4%151st

Turnover %

277th16.3%

16.5%83rd

Offensive rebound %

310th25.4%

29.6%168th

Free throw rate

40th28.7%

23.4%153rd

Points

279th68.8

67.441st

Field goal %

323rd41.1%

43.3%125th

2-point %

212th50.2%

49.3%113th

3-point %

321st30.8%

34.6%230th

Free throw %

46th76.4%

67.8%9th

Rebounds

281st32.6

33.187th

Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

VMIForAgainst

1st half

30.4

40.4

2nd half

37.3

43.1

Game

67.7

83.5

45% of VMI's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

ETSUForAgainst

1st half

35.2

35.8

2nd half

41.2

36.6

Game

76.4

72.4

46% of ETSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

VMI 1series9 ETSU

Last 10EEEEEEEEEV

Avg total

144.7

combined points

Avg margin

ETSU 11.3

per meeting

Biggest win

ETSU +32

Mar 8, 2024

Last meeting

ETSU won

Feb 7, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026VMI 0-2 ETSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 7, 2026	ETSU 87	VMI 70	ETSU+17	+17
Jan 7, 2026	VMI 67	ETSU 81	ETSU+14	+14

2025VMI 0-2 ETSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 5, 2025	ETSU 62	VMI 55	ETSU+7	+7
Jan 1, 2025	VMI 69	ETSU 84	ETSU+15	+15

2024VMI 0-3 ETSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 8, 2024	VMI 66	ETSU 98	ETSU+32	+32
Feb 21, 2024	VMI 69	ETSU 82	ETSU+13	+13
Jan 24, 2024	ETSU 74	VMI 73	ETSU+1	+1

2023VMI 0-1 ETSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 10, 2023	VMI 65	ETSU 69	ETSU+4	+4

2022VMI 1-1 ETSU

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 31, 2022	ETSU 64	VMI 50	ETSU+14	+14
Jan 29, 2022	ETSU 79	VMI 83	VMI+4	+4

VMI vs East Tennessee State — College Basketball, Jan 1, 2025

Line scoreHistory

Top performersHistory

Box scoreHistory

Team statsHistory

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory