The Aces (31-13) host the Valkyries (32-12) on Oct 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
GS offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LV defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
LV offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · GS defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 15 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 81 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 15 teams, 1st = best.
GS is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
A'ja Wilson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 28.7 | 12.2 | 4.2 | 6.1 |
| Gabby Williams | 24.3 | 13.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Kayla Thornton | 23.3 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| Kiah Stokes | 22.1 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 1.6 |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 21.0 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Kaila Charles | 20.9 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 1.6 |
| Janelle Salaun | 20.5 | 11.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 18.9 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young | 32.4 | 21.9 | 4.3 | 7.1 |
| A'ja Wilson | 32.2 | 25.0 | 8.6 | 3.3 |
| Chelsea Gray | 31.9 | 10.9 | 3.2 | 5.5 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 26.0 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| Jewell Loyd | 23.1 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Stephanie Talbot | 16.5 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Mai Yamamoto | 16.2 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Brianna Turner | 15.5 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
Rank among 15 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2026 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
From play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
50% of GS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
52% of LV's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | GS+11 | +11 | ||
| Jun 21, 2026 | LV+19 | +19 | ||
| Jun 6, 2026 | LV+5 | +5 | ||
| May 31, 2026 | LV+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2025 | LV+6 | +6 | ||
| Aug 3, 2025 | LV+24 | +24 | ||
| Jul 12, 2025 | LV+2 | +2 | ||
| Jun 7, 2025 | GS+27 | +27 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GS29-11 · last 40 games | LV28-12 · last 40 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points for | 19.9#14 of 15 | 24.3#2 of 15 | 21.8 |
| 4th quarter points against | 19.6#15 of 15 | 22.6#3 of 15 | 21.6 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.5#7 of 15 | 111.0#2 of 15 | 104.9 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 95.8#15 of 15 | 104.4#10 of 15 | 104.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 15 ranked teams, over each team's last 40 regular-season games (May 2026 – Sep 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.