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Golden State Valkyries
31-12
Portland Fire
17-27
82–90
Final
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Player props

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Carla Leite
Carla Leite
POR vs GS
Player page →
No line posted
Showing the games against 16.5
Hit rate
50.0% [5/10]
90% range 27–73%
PTS
17.3
+1.3
REB
1.8
-0.3
AST
6.5
+0.2
3PM
1.4
+0.5
MIN
26.0
-0.0

Averages over the games shown; the small number is the difference from the season average.

Closing lines fill in game by game from our first props pull (Sep 23, 2026); none of these games has one yet.

Aug 6 vs TOR: 27 (line 16.5)27TORAug 6Aug 8 vs SEA: 4 (line 16.5)4SEAAug 8Aug 14 @ SEA: 14 (line 16.5)14@SEAAug 14Aug 16 @ PHX: 23 (line 16.5)23@PHXAug 16Aug 21 @ TOR: 7 (line 16.5)7@TORAug 21Aug 23 vs WSH: 27 (line 16.5)27WSHAug 23Aug 25 @ DAL: 10 (line 16.5)10@DALAug 25Aug 28 @ ATL: 26 (line 16.5)26@ATLAug 28Sep 18 @ GS: 12 (line 16.5)12@GSSep 18Sep 20 @ LA: 23 (line 16.5)23@LASep 2016.5
What if the line were16.5 (5-5)

Shot types vs GS

2026, 39 games

TypePointsFGAFG%GS allows
Free throws5.5 (34%)——15.1 #11
Drives & floaters4.2 (26%)4.349%11.0 #15
Pull-ups & step-backs2.9 (18%)3.041%7.9 #15
Transition1.2 (7%)1.148%9.7 #14
Spot-up jumpers1.0 (6%)0.938%16.9 #10
Putbacks0.6 (4%)0.556%4.3 #13
Cuts & lobs0.5 (3%)0.390%4.1 #15
Post-ups & turnarounds0.3 (2%)0.436%3.8 #3
Other at the rim0.0 (0%)0.10%1.9 #15

GS allows = points a game its opponents score that way; rank 1 = allows the most. Transition = first shot within 7s of a stop or score; putback = within 3s of an own offensive rebound; the rest by ESPN's shot label.

Shooting zones

Carla Leite · 633 attempts, last two seasons

63%15045%25128%3220%1026%2713%846%1330%142
Restricted area: 94/150 (63%)
Paint (non-RA): 112/251 (45%)
Left mid-range: 9/32 (28%)
Center mid-range: 2/10 (20%)
Right mid-range: 7/27 (26%)
Left corner 3: 1/8 (13%)
Right corner 3: 6/13 (46%)
Above the break 3: 42/142 (30%)

Where they shoot from and how often it goes in, by zone. From ESPN's charted shot locations. Descriptive history, not a forecast.

Similar players vs GS

Similarity from 2026 box scores

Avg diff
-0.68
Avg diff %
+3%
Went over
46% (11/24)
DatePlayerVsResultDiff
Sep 22Jordan Harrison POR5.0 avg6+20%
Sep 18Jordan Harrison POR5.5 avg2-63%
Aug 30Jordan Harrison POR5.1 avg7+38%
Aug 27Sabrina Ionescu NY16.3 avg7-57%
Aug 24Olivia Miles MIN20.0 avg8-60%
Aug 21Courtney Vandersloot CHI9.2 avg12+31%
Aug 19Olivia Miles MIN19.9 avg20+1%
Aug 12Courtney Vandersloot CHI9.1 avg6-34%
Aug 4Kiki Rice TOR11.8 avg2-83%
Aug 2Kiki Rice TOR11.4 avg16+40%
1 / 3

Compared with: Kelsey Plum, Olivia Miles, Caitlin Clark, Brittney Sykes, Courtney Vandersloot, Skylar Diggins, Alyssa Thomas, Sonia Citron, Sabrina Ionescu, Jackie Young, Kiki Rice, Jordan Harrison.

Players whose minutes and per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, three-point and free-throw volume, steals, blocks and turnovers are closest to this player's. Each game is measured against its closing line (CLOSE) where we have one, otherwise against that player's own average in the same season before that game (AVG). Other players' history, not a projection for this one.

At a glance
GSPOR
31-12Record17-27
7-3Last 103-7
+9.2#1Net rating-5.8#12
105.0#7Offense103.5#8
95.9#1Defense109.3#14
78.4#15Pace83.3#6
50.1#12eFG%52.4#7
47.8#1Opp eFG%53.3#13
13.1#1Turnover %16.6#14
26.9#4Off. rebound %24.5#10

Per 100 possessions; rank 1 = best (for Defense and Opp eFG%, the lowest).

The shape of the matchup

Effective field-goal percentage (offense)ShootingTurnovers per 100 plays — fewer is better (offense)TurnoversShare of its own misses rebounded (offense)O-Reb%Free throws made per field-goal attempt (offense)FT rateEffective field-goal percentage allowed (defense)Shooting DTurnovers forced per 100 plays (defense)TakeawaysShare of opponent misses kept off the boards (defense)D-Reb%Free throws allowed per field-goal attempt — fewer is better (defense)FT def
GSPOR

Each axis is a percentile among 15 teams on that measure (1 = best), offense on the left half of the wheel, defense on the right. Bigger is better.

Ratings · 2026

+9.2 #1Net rating−5.8 #12
105.0 #7Offensive rating103.5 #8
95.9 #1Defensive rating109.3 #14
78.4 #15Pace83.3 #6
GSPOR

The four factors

GS offense vs POR defenseGS OPOR D
Shooting (eFG%)50.1% #1253.3% #13
Turnovers13.1% #115.7% #5
Offensive rebounding26.9% #429.9% #15
Free throws (FTr)20.9% #1328.1% #14
Rating105.0 #7109.3 #14
POR offense vs GS defensePOR OGS D
Shooting (eFG%)52.4% #747.8% #1
Turnovers16.6% #1416.9% #2
Offensive rebounding24.5% #1024.7% #7
Free throws (FTr)22.2% #1024.1% #8
Rating103.5 #895.9 #1

League rank among 15 teams (1 = best; a defense ranks well for allowing less shooting, more turnovers forced, fewer offensive rebounds and fewer free throws).

Shot types

2026 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league

GS offense vs POR defense

TypeGS scoresPOR allows
Spot-up jumpersmatch21.7 #219.3 #3
Free throws14.2 #1419.0 #1
Drives & floaters16.3 #113.6 #10
Transition8.4 #1412.3 #2
Pull-ups & step-backs10.0 #78.5 #13
Cuts & lobs3.1 #155.9 #4
Putbacks4.2 #145.9 #5
Post-ups & turnarounds2.7 #102.8 #12
Other at the rim1.1 #152.8 #8

POR offense vs GS defense

TypePOR scoresGS allows
Spot-up jumpers21.8 #116.9 #10
Free throws15.1 #1015.1 #11
Drives & floaters14.3 #711.0 #15
Transition9.5 #139.7 #14
Pull-ups & step-backs7.6 #137.9 #15
Cuts & lobs7.5 #14.1 #15
Putbacks4.4 #134.3 #13
Post-ups & turnarounds3.3 #83.8 #3
Other at the rim2.0 #131.9 #15

From ESPN play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by ESPN's shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.

Scoring by quarter and half

per game, last 17 games
GSPORAvg team
ForAgainstForAgainst
Q121.218.422.523.522.2
Q220.115.519.922.421.4
Q322.519.421.422.921.8
Q418.919.923.122.621.7
1st half41.233.942.545.943.6
2nd half41.740.145.245.843.7
Game82.974.087.691.787.3
Points in the 1st half50%46%48%50%50%

Average points per game in each period, from ESPN box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

GS rotation · last 15 games

PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Veronica Burton28.612.33.96.0
Gabby Williams22.613.03.32.1
Janelle Salaun22.513.43.61.5
Kayla Thornton22.36.63.50.7
Kiah Stokes22.33.46.71.4
Cecilia Zandalasini21.510.43.02.4
Kaila Charles20.87.55.01.8
Tiffany Hayes19.312.53.63.3

POR rotation · last 15 games

PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Bridget Carleton31.515.75.92.1
Carla Leite26.517.81.87.1
Megan DiLeo25.713.44.90.9
Emily Engstler25.511.95.92.5
Nyadiew Puoch21.76.63.10.9
Karlie Samuelson17.65.92.10.7
Frieda Buhner16.25.82.20.8
Serah Williams15.34.53.10.4

GS · last 10

31-12 · 2 days rest
  • Sep 19 vs SEAW 70–57
  • Sep 18 vs PORW 82–66
  • Aug 30 @ PORW 86–69
  • Aug 27 @ NYW 79–60
  • Aug 26 @ CONW 89–64
  • Aug 24 @ MINW 80–66
  • Aug 21 @ CHIL 70–73
  • Aug 19 vs MINL 66–77
  • Aug 17 vs DALW 78–70
  • Aug 12 vs CHIW 91–71
8-2 in these

POR · last 10

17-27 · 1 day rest
  • Sep 20 @ LAL 84–105
  • Sep 18 @ GSL 66–82
  • Sep 17 vs PHXL 91–94
  • Aug 30 vs GSL 69–86
  • Aug 28 @ ATLW 101–83
  • Aug 25 @ DALL 78–96
  • Aug 23 vs WSHL 100–105
  • Aug 21 @ TORL 79–82
  • Aug 16 @ PHXW 88–85
  • Aug 14 @ SEAW 84–82
3-7 in these

Recent meetings

  • Sep 22, 2026GS 82atPOR 90
  • Sep 18, 2026POR 66atGS 82
  • Aug 30, 2026GS 86atPOR 69
  • Jun 2, 2026POR 77atGS 95

Finished meetings between these two teams in the data we have. Descriptive history, not a forecast of tonight.

From ESPN box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM via TheRundown; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.