Probetrics — Sports Analytics
← WNBA
Toronto Tempo
11-33
Chicago Sky
16-28
85–97
Final
The model's pick →

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Marina Mabrey
Marina Mabrey
TOR vs CHI
Player page →
No line posted
Showing the games against 20.5
Hit rate
50.0% [5/10]
90% range 27–73%
PTS
19.1
-1.7
REB
2.8
-0.5
AST
3.8
+0.1
3PM
2.9
-0.4
MIN
30.2
+0.7

Averages over the games shown; the small number is the difference from the season average.

Closing lines fill in game by game from our first props pull (Sep 23, 2026); none of these games has one yet.

Jul 14 vs WSH: 8 (line 20.5)8WSHJul 14Jul 17 vs ATL: 26 (line 20.5)26ATLJul 17Jul 20 vs LV: 14 (line 20.5)14LVJul 20Jul 28 @ MIN: 25 (line 20.5)25@MINJul 28Jul 30 vs MIN: 16 (line 20.5)16MINJul 30Aug 4 @ GS: 12 (line 20.5)12@GSAug 4Aug 6 @ POR: 9 (line 20.5)9@PORAug 6Aug 10 @ ATL: 36 (line 20.5)36@ATLAug 10Aug 12 @ DAL: 23 (line 20.5)23@DALAug 12Aug 18 vs IND: 22 (line 20.5)22INDAug 1820.5
What if the line were20.5 (5-5)

Shot types vs CHI

2026, 32 games

TypePointsFGAFG%CHI allows
Pull-ups & step-backs5.5 (27%)5.241%9.0 #9
Free throws3.9 (19%)——18.8 #3
Spot-up jumpers3.5 (17%)3.138%16.9 #9
Drives & floaters3.3 (16%)2.857%15.2 #4
Transition2.7 (13%)2.842%12.2 #3
Putbacks0.7 (3%)0.645%6.1 #2
Cuts & lobs0.4 (2%)0.367%5.2 #11
Post-ups & turnarounds0.3 (1%)0.429%3.8 #4
Other at the rim0.2 (1%)0.175%2.4 #13

CHI allows = points a game its opponents score that way; rank 1 = allows the most. Transition = first shot within 7s of a stop or score; putback = within 3s of an own offensive rebound; the rest by ESPN's shot label.

Shooting zones

Marina Mabrey · 982 attempts, last two seasons

65%15840%20542%5727%1142%6242%4533%3332%411
Restricted area: 102/158 (65%)
Paint (non-RA): 81/205 (40%)
Left mid-range: 24/57 (42%)
Center mid-range: 3/11 (27%)
Right mid-range: 26/62 (42%)
Left corner 3: 19/45 (42%)
Right corner 3: 11/33 (33%)
Above the break 3: 131/411 (32%)

Where they shoot from and how often it goes in, by zone. From ESPN's charted shot locations. Descriptive history, not a forecast.

Similar players vs CHI

Similarity from 2026 box scores

Avg diff
+1.12
Avg diff %
+9%
Went over
52% (14/27)
DatePlayerVsResultDiff
Aug 29Sabrina Ionescu NY16.0 avg2-87%
Aug 23Kelsey Mitchell IND24.7 avg30+22%
Aug 21Gabby Williams GS14.8 avg2-86%
Aug 18Sabrina Ionescu NY16.4 avg18+10%
Aug 16Flau'jae Johnson SEA13.7 avg5-64%
Aug 12Gabby Williams GS14.7 avg13-12%
Aug 10Natisha Hiedeman SEA15.5 avg18+16%
Aug 8Kelsey Mitchell IND24.1 avg27+12%
Aug 5Rae Burrell LA13.4 avg13-3%
Aug 3Kelsey Plum PHX23.9 avg20-16%
1 / 3

Compared with: Kelsey Plum, Sabrina Ionescu, Satou Sabally, Kelsey Mitchell, Jackie Young, Flau'jae Johnson, Olivia Miles, Jovana Nogic, Rae Burrell, Natisha Hiedeman, Gabby Williams, Kahleah Copper.

Players whose minutes and per-36 scoring, rebounding, playmaking, three-point and free-throw volume, steals, blocks and turnovers are closest to this player's. Each game is measured against its closing line (CLOSE) where we have one, otherwise against that player's own average in the same season before that game (AVG). Other players' history, not a projection for this one.

At a glance
TORCHI
11-33Record16-28
1-9Last 104-6
-10.5#14Net rating-4.5#10
103.0#10Offense101.4#13
113.5#15Defense106.0#10
83.2#7Pace85.5#1
50.4#10eFG%49.7#13
54.7#15Opp eFG%50.7#7
15.9#10Turnover %14.3#5
26.1#5Off. rebound %21.6#14

Per 100 possessions; rank 1 = best (for Defense and Opp eFG%, the lowest).

The shape of the matchup

Effective field-goal percentage (offense)ShootingTurnovers per 100 plays — fewer is better (offense)TurnoversShare of its own misses rebounded (offense)O-Reb%Free throws made per field-goal attempt (offense)FT rateEffective field-goal percentage allowed (defense)Shooting DTurnovers forced per 100 plays (defense)TakeawaysShare of opponent misses kept off the boards (defense)D-Reb%Free throws allowed per field-goal attempt — fewer is better (defense)FT def
TORCHI

Each axis is a percentile among 15 teams on that measure (1 = best), offense on the left half of the wheel, defense on the right. Bigger is better.

Ratings · 2026

−10.5 #14Net rating−4.5 #10
103.0 #10Offensive rating101.4 #13
113.5 #15Defensive rating106.0 #10
83.2 #7Pace85.5 #1
TORCHI

The four factors

TOR offense vs CHI defenseTOR OCHI D
Shooting (eFG%)50.4% #1050.7% #7
Turnovers15.9% #1014.4% #11
Offensive rebounding26.1% #526.7% #10
Free throws (FTr)24.9% #626.6% #13
Rating103.0 #10106.0 #10
CHI offense vs TOR defenseCHI OTOR D
Shooting (eFG%)49.7% #1354.7% #15
Turnovers14.3% #513.8% #14
Offensive rebounding21.6% #1429.4% #14
Free throws (FTr)24.8% #724.2% #9
Rating101.4 #13113.5 #15

League rank among 15 teams (1 = best; a defense ranks well for allowing less shooting, more turnovers forced, fewer offensive rebounds and fewer free throws).

Shot types

2026 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league

TOR offense vs CHI defense

TypeTOR scoresCHI allows
Spot-up jumpers18.2 #716.9 #9
Free throws17.0 #718.8 #3
Drives & floaters14.0 #915.2 #4
Transition10.9 #912.2 #3
Pull-ups & step-backs10.5 #69.0 #9
Cuts & lobs4.2 #145.2 #11
Putbacks5.2 #96.1 #2
Post-ups & turnarounds2.7 #113.8 #4
Other at the rim2.2 #122.4 #13

CHI offense vs TOR defense

TypeCHI scoresTOR allows
Spot-up jumpers14.0 #1520.9 #2
Free throws17.3 #617.1 #6
Drives & floaters15.3 #514.2 #8
Transition11.3 #712.2 #4
Pull-ups & step-backs11.3 #58.9 #11
Cuts & lobsmatch7.1 #36.6 #2
Putbacks4.7 #126.9 #1
Post-ups & turnarounds2.5 #123.5 #7
Other at the rim2.6 #63.3 #1

From ESPN play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by ESPN's shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.

Scoring by quarter and half

per game, last 17 games
TORCHIAvg team
ForAgainstForAgainst
Q120.124.720.721.422.2
Q220.423.120.423.221.4
Q319.825.721.424.521.8
Q420.722.723.123.021.7
1st half40.447.841.144.643.6
2nd half40.548.444.547.543.7
Game80.996.285.692.187.3
Points in the 1st half50%50%48%48%50%

Average points per game in each period, from ESPN box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

TOR rotation · last 15 games

PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Marina Mabrey29.719.72.23.5
Kiki Rice27.713.82.83.9
Laura Juskaite27.613.54.91.8
Maria Conde27.36.33.73.3
Julie Allemand27.25.33.15.5
Nyara Sabally23.514.26.71.5
Isabelle Harrison23.010.66.91.6
Kiana Williams19.76.00.31.3

CHI rotation · last 15 games

PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Natasha Cloud28.613.63.45.2
Kamilla Cardoso26.115.59.12.2
Courtney Vandersloot24.79.53.65.9
Azura Stevens22.98.35.41.2
Sydney Taylor21.211.51.72.9
Jacy Sheldon19.65.81.31.6
Elizabeth Williams16.24.52.81.0
DiJonai Carrington16.28.83.10.6

TOR · last 10

11-33 · 1 day rest
  • Sep 20 vs NYL 69–106
  • Sep 18 vs INDL 85–103
  • Aug 29 @ PHXL 69–101
  • Aug 28 @ LVL 73–93
  • Aug 26 @ SEAL 78–90
  • Aug 23 vs LVL 78–88
  • Aug 21 vs PORW 82–79
  • Aug 19 @ WSHL 82–93
  • Aug 18 vs INDL 95–101
  • Aug 12 @ DALL 88–94
1-9 in these

CHI · last 10

16-28 · 2 days rest
  • Sep 19 @ ATLL 81–106
  • Sep 17 vs WSHL 80–110
  • Aug 29 @ NYL 66–85
  • Aug 25 @ CONL 81–87
  • Aug 23 vs INDL 90–113
  • Aug 21 vs GSW 73–70
  • Aug 18 vs NYW 93–86
  • Aug 16 @ SEAW 82–80
  • Aug 12 @ GSL 71–91
  • Aug 10 @ SEAL 88–97
3-7 in these

Recent meetings

  • Sep 22, 2026TOR 85atCHI 97
  • Jun 7, 2026CHI 68atTOR 85
  • May 27, 2026TOR 111atCHI 104

Finished meetings between these two teams in the data we have. Descriptive history, not a forecast of tonight.

From ESPN box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM via TheRundown; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.