Walker vs Acosta
Johnny Walker beat Waldo Cortes Acosta by KO/TKO in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker on Nov 7, 2026.
Rounds 1.5 · over −220 · under +170
3 US books
How it endsThe books' no-vig prices for every way the fight can end. The books price the round and the method separately (never a method inside a given round). Each number is the median chance across books with their margin removed; the price beside it is the best at a US sportsbook. The chance it is still going after a round is read off the round prices.Market
The books gave Acosta 64% to win; it went the distance 22% of the time, and the likeliest single ending was Acosta in round 1 (17.7%).
Outlined: the likeliest single ending. Still going: the chance it has not ended by the end of that round. Rounds line, no vig: over 1.5 rounds 65%, over 2.5 rounds 45%. Tap a cell for its price.
How their last fights endedEach fighter's tracked fights before this one, oldest to newest.History
5-5 in the last 10. 4 of 5 wins inside the distance; 3 of 5 losses were finishes.
- WKO/TKO · R1vs Mick ParkinOct 2026
- LDecisionvs Dominick ReyesApr 2026
- WKO/TKO · R2vs Zhang MingyangAug 2025
- LKO/TKO · R1vs Volkan OezdemirJun 2024
- LKO/TKO · R2vs Magomed AnkalaevJan 2024
7-3 in the last 10. 4 of 7 wins inside the distance; 0 of 3 losses were finishes.
- LDecisionvs Curtis BlaydesSep 2026
- LDecisionvs Alexander VolkovMay 2026
- WKO/TKO · R2vs Derrick LewisJan 2026
- WKO/TKO · R1vs Shamil GazievNov 2025
- WKO/TKO · R1vs Ante DelijaNov 2025
Most of these were 3-round fights; this one is scheduled for 5.
Fight statsEach fighter's own numbers from this bout. A longer bar is a bigger number; volt marks the higher one.History
The strike and takedown numbers for this bout have not been stored yet; they usually arrive within a day of the result.
Rates against the divisionEach fighter's striking and grappling rates from his box-scored fights; the tick on each bar is the division average and a full bar is the division's top 5%. Hover a row for what it measures. A rate with no box scores behind it reads no data, never a zero.History
- 4.0Strikes landed / min4.84.0Strikes landed / min4.8
- 3.3Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.43.3Strikes absorbed / minlower is better3.4
- 51%Striking accuracy48%51%Striking accuracy48%
- 49%Striking defense55%49%Striking defense55%
- 0.46Knockdowns / 15 min0.590.46Knockdowns / 15 min0.59
- 0.5Takedowns / 15 min0.50.5Takedowns / 15 min0.5
- 40%Takedown accuracy50%40%Takedown accuracy50%
- 29%Takedown defense69%29%Takedown defense69%
- 0.5Sub. attempts / 15 min0.10.5Sub. attempts / 15 min0.1
- 0.03Ground advances / 15 min0.020.03Ground advances / 15 min0.02
Tick: Heavyweight average (69 fighters with 3+ tracked fights). Bars start at zero; a full bar is the division's top 5%. The better number of each row is bold.
Strike targets and paceStrike targets are the share of significant strikes to the head, body and legs. Pace is how long his tracked fights lasted and how often he finished early inside the first round.History
Johnny Walker
Form: 2-3 in his last 5 · on W1. Since his last fight: 36 d.
- WKO/TKO · R1 · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wangsig. str. 23/32 · abs. 11 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 0
- Lvs Dominick ReyesApr 12, 2026Decision - Split · R3 · UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulbergsig. str. 42/80 · abs. 34 · TD 0/1 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Zhang MingyangAug 23, 2025KO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangsig. str. 50/67 · abs. 20 · TD 0/2 · KD 1 · sub 0
- Lvs Volkan OezdemirJun 22, 2024KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerovsig. str. 15/33 · abs. 37 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Magomed AnkalaevJan 14, 2024KO/TKO · R2 · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2sig. str. 24/71 · abs. 39 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Form: 3-2 in his last 5 · on L2. Since his last fight: 57 d.
- LDecision - Unanimous · R3 · Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgadosig. str. 28/95 · abs. 24 · TD 0 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Lvs Alexander VolkovMay 10, 2026Decision - Unanimous · R3 · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Stricklandsig. str. 54/130 · abs. 88 · TD 0/1 · KD 0 · sub 0
- Wvs Derrick LewisJan 25, 2026KO/TKO · R2 · UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblettsig. str. 44/62 · abs. 8 · TD 1/1 · KD 1 · sub 0
- Wvs Shamil GazievNov 22, 2025KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hookersig. str. 10/21 · abs. 6 · TD 0 · KD 2 · sub 0
- Wvs Ante DelijaNov 1, 2025KO/TKO · R1 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onamasig. str. 12/17 · abs. 16 · TD 0 · KD 1 · sub 0
Common opponentsOpponents both fighters have faced (latest meeting each). Check the dates.
Walker: full history · 11 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs Mick ParkinUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang | WKO/TKO · R1 | 23/32 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | vs Dominick ReyesUFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg | LDecision - Split · R3 | 42/80 | 34 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | vs Zhang MingyangUFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang | WKO/TKO · R2 | 50/67 | 20 | 0/2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-06-22 | vs Volkan OezdemirUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov | LKO/TKO · R1 | 15/33 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-01-14 | vs Magomed AnkalaevUFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 | LKO/TKO · R2 | 24/71 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-05-13 | vs Anthony SmithUFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 92/192 | 38 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-01-22 | vs Paul CraigUFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill | WKO/TKO · R1 | 16/20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2022-09-11 | vs Ion CutelabaUFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson | WSubmission · R1 | 3/3 | 3 | 1/1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2022-02-20 | vs Jamahal HillUFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill | LKO/TKO · R1 | 12/25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-10-02 | UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker | LDecision - Unanimous · R5 | 48/130 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-20 | vs Ryan SpannUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley | WKO/TKO · R1 | 26/30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Acosta: full history · 13 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | vs Curtis BlaydesNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 28/95 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | vs Alexander VolkovUFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 54/130 | 88 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | vs Derrick LewisUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett | WKO/TKO · R2 | 44/62 | 8 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs Shamil GazievUFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker | WKO/TKO · R1 | 10/21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | vs Ante DelijaUFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama | WKO/TKO · R1 | 12/17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | vs Sergei PavlovichUFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 45/117 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | vs Serghei SpivacUFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 110/235 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | vs Ryan SpannUFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 | WKO/TKO · R2 | 66/111 | 23 | 0/1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-05-11 | vs Robelis DespaigneUFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 52/101 | 26 | 3/4 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-01-14 | UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 49/136 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-26 | vs Lukasz BrzeskiUFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie | WKO/TKO · R1 | 15/45 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-04-29 | UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 82/150 | 59 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-11-19 | UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 147/278 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line shop (closing prices)Each US sportsbook's moneyline and rounds line; bold = the best price on that side.
| Book | Acosta | Walker | Rounds | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | −190 BetMGM | +172 FanDuel | 1.5 | −220 | +170 |
| BetMGM | −190 | +155 | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | −205 | +170 | 1.5 | −220 | +170 |
| FanDuel | −225 | +172 | 2.5 | +114 | −138 |
Line movementEach fighter's no-vig win chance from the median book, every hour since lines opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Median sportsbook win chance with the books' margin taken out (the same no-vig number as above, the two sides add to 100%), one point an hour since the line opened.
Fighter numbers are from tracked fights. Prices are the best at US sportsbooks and win chances take the margin out: the books' view, not a forecast. Descriptive data. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.