The Lightning (2-1-0) host the Senators (2-0-0) on Jan 16, 2027, 3:30 PM ET.




Lines post the morning of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
Goals a game by period, regular season (a shootout is not a period; overtime is per game played). The number on top is goals for, under it goals against. OTT: 2 from 2026–27, 8 from 2025–26. TB: 3 from 2026–27, 7 from 2025–26.
The starter is not confirmed. This is Samuel Ersson, who started OTT's last game, going into this one.
| Start | Rest before | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 @ BOS | — | 9 | 8 |
The starter is not confirmed. This is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who started TB's last game, going into this one.
| Start | Rest before | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 vs PHI | 1 day | 14 | 13 |
| Oct 3 vs WSH | 1 day | 20 | 19 |
| Oct 1 @ NYR | 150 days | 24 | 20 |
| May 3 vs MTL | 1 day | 9 | 7 |
| May 1 @ MTL | 1 day | 30 | 30 |
Current report — a live snapshot, not what it said the day this game was played.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
Tap or hover a square for its attempts and goals.
Each square is 10 feet of the offensive half, goal at the right, shaded by attempts (shots on goal, misses and blocks) from there; both teams share one scale. A volt dot marks where goals came from. Last 10 games for each team, regular season and playoffs, from our stored play-by-play.
Tap or hover a square for its shots, goals and save percentage.
shots faced (darker = more)goals against (squares with 5+)
| Distance from the net | Shots | Goals | Save % | League | Compared with the league |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point blank10 ft or less | 87 | 19 | .782 | ||
| Close10–25 ft | 149 | 25 | .832 | ||
| Mid-range25–40 ft | 199 | 28 | .859 | ||
| Long40 ft and out | 225 | 10 | .956 | ||
| League = every goalie in a complete game, 148,981 shots on goal. * under 25 shots. | |||||
Counts games he played start to finish: the play-by-play names the goalie on a save but not on a goal, so a goal can be placed only when he was the only one in net (empty-net goals and the shootout are left out). Save percentage is saves over shots on goal; a square or row with few shots swings widely. Where shots came from, not a forecast.
Tap or hover a square for its shots, goals and save percentage.
shots faced (darker = more)goals against (squares with 17+)
| Distance from the net | Shots | Goals | Save % | League | Compared with the league |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point blank10 ft or less | 484 | 67 | .862 | ||
| Close10–25 ft | 790 | 113 | .857 | ||
| Mid-range25–40 ft | 956 | 85 | .911 | ||
| Long40 ft and out | 1271 | 27 | .979 | ||
| League = every goalie in a complete game, 148,981 shots on goal. * under 25 shots. | |||||
Counts games he played start to finish: the play-by-play names the goalie on a save but not on a goal, so a goal can be placed only when he was the only one in net (empty-net goals and the shootout are left out). Save percentage is saves over shots on goal; a square or row with few shots swings widely. Where shots came from, not a forecast.
No props posted for this game yet. Books post NHL props the morning of the game; see the full props board.
| Measure | OTT | TB | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shot attempts and shots | |||
| Shot-attempt share | 51.1%#13 of 32 | 49.6%#17 of 32 | 49.8% |
| Even-strength attempt share | 50.2%#14 of 32 | 50.7%#13 of 32 | 49.8% |
| Shots-on-goal share | 53.5%#7 of 32 | 52.8%#10 of 32 | 49.9% |
| Attempts for per game | 55.8#17 of 32 | 54.4#21 of 32 | 56.5 |
| Attempts against per game | 53.4#24 of 32 | 55.3#20 of 32 | 56.8 |
| Special teams | |||
| Power play | 30.0%#8 of 329 goals on 30 chances | 3.3%#32 of 321 goals on 30 chances | 21.1% |
| Power plays per game | 3.00#10 of 32 | 3.00#10 of 32 | 2.77 |
| Penalty kill | 88.9%#5 of 3224 of 27 killed | 87.5%#8 of 3228 of 32 killed | 78.9% |
| Times shorthanded per game | 2.70#17 of 32 | 3.20#3 of 32 | 2.76 |
Last 10 games counted back from each team's latest regular-season game. OTT: 10 games, 8 from 2025–26. TB: 10 games, 7 from 2025–26. Rank 1 is the highest in the league, even for attempts against, and a rank is a place, not a grade. Attempts are goals, saves, misses and blocked shots from the play-by-play (even strength means neither team on a power play); a game it did not cover is left out. Past games, not a forecast.
| Player | GP | G | A | PTS | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 16:46 |
| Tim Stutzle | 13 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 19:35 |
| Drake Batherson | 15 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 16:11 |
| Jordan Spence | 15 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 23:30 |
| Shane Pinto | 15 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 18:31 |
| Dylan Cozens | 15 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 16:50 |
| Ridly Greig | 15 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 16:58 |
| Claude Giroux | 15 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 14:38 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 11:31 |
| Jake Sanderson | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25:10 |
| Artem Zub | 15 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23:06 |
| Michael Amadio | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16:54 |
| Player | GP | G | A | PTS | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 14 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 41 | 20:49 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 13 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 20:19 |
| Darren Raddysh | 13 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 22:45 |
| Brandon Hagel | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 20:46 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 14 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19:00 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 15 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 17:57 |
| Gage Goncalves | 15 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 15:47 |
| Brayden Point | 14 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 18:35 |
| Emil Lilleberg | 15 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18:12 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 17:20 |
| Corey Perry | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 11:58 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 14 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14:32 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | OTT+4 | +4 | ||
| Mar 28, 2026 | TB+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | OTT+1 | +1 | ||
| Apr 3, 2025 | OTT+1 | +1 | ||
| Feb 6, 2025 | TB+4 | +4 | ||
| Feb 4, 2025 | TB+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | OTT+1 | +1 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. The goalie shown is the one who started the team's last game; the starter for this game is not confirmed. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OTT45-26-11 · last 82 games | TB51-25-6 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 3.20#15 of 32 | 2.61#31 of 32 | 3.12 |
| Penalty-kill percentage | 77.5%#20 of 32 | 82.1%#5 of 32 | 78.9% |
| Power-play percentage | 23.4%#9 of 32 | 19.5%#20 of 32 | 21.1% |
| Shots by both teams per game | 53.2#29 of 32 | 54.6#21 of 32 | 55.6 |
| 3rd period goals for | 1.18#9 of 32 | 1.24#2 of 32 | 1.08 |
| Shots against per game | 24.4#30 of 32 | 26.2#25 of 32 | 27.8 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 32 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.