Dougie Hamilton has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 22 of 32 games against middling defenses.
Also cleared the bar (home): 27 of 40 on the over side.
- History
- ▲ 69%
- 22 of 32
- 90%: 54–80%
- Books
- 40%
- fair chance
- Over 2.5, no-vig
The Devils (1-1-0) host the Mammoth (2-1-0) on Oct 6, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.




Market· 4 books· best UTAH +113 Caesars (opens Caesars in a new tab) · NJ -128 FanDuel (opens FanDuel in a new tab)·
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
Goals a game by period, regular season (a shootout is not a period; overtime is per game played). The number on top is goals for, under it goals against. UTAH: 3 from 2026–27, 7 from 2025–26. NJ: 2 from 2026–27, 8 from 2025–26.
The starter is not confirmed. This is Karel Vejmelka, who started UTAH's last game, going into this one.
| Start | Rest before | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 @ NYR | 2 days | 21 | 18 |
| Oct 1 vs CHI | 152 days | 14 | 14 |
| May 1 vs VGK | 1 day | 25 | 21 |
| Apr 29 @ VGK | 1 day | 38 | 33 |
| Apr 27 vs VGK | 2 days | 36 | 31 |
The starter is not confirmed. This is Nico Daws, who started NJ's last game, going into this one.
| Start | Rest before | Shots against | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 @ NYI | 171 days | 32 | 26 |
| Apr 14 @ BOS | 1 day | 26 | 22 |
| Apr 12 vs OTT | — | 30 | 27 |
Current report — a live snapshot, not what it said the day this game was played.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
Tap or hover a square for its attempts and goals.
Each square is 10 feet of the offensive half, goal at the right, shaded by attempts (shots on goal, misses and blocks) from there; both teams share one scale. A volt dot marks where goals came from. Last 10 games for each team, regular season and playoffs, from our stored play-by-play.
Tap or hover a square for its shots, goals and save percentage.
shots faced (darker = more)goals against (squares with 27+)
| Distance from the net | Shots | Goals | Save % | League | Compared with the league |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point blank10 ft or less | 479 | 110 | .770 | ||
| Close10–25 ft | 721 | 108 | .850 | ||
| Mid-range25–40 ft | 831 | 71 | .915 | ||
| Long40 ft and out | 1196 | 28 | .977 | ||
| League = every goalie in a complete game, 148,981 shots on goal. * under 25 shots. | |||||
Counts games he played start to finish: the play-by-play names the goalie on a save but not on a goal, so a goal can be placed only when he was the only one in net (empty-net goals and the shootout are left out). Save percentage is saves over shots on goal; a square or row with few shots swings widely. Where shots came from, not a forecast.
Tap or hover a square for its shots, goals and save percentage.
shots faced (darker = more)goal against
| Distance from the net | Shots | Goals | Save % | League | Compared with the league |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point blank10 ft or less | 45 | 6 | .867 | ||
| Close10–25 ft | 51 | 8 | .843 | ||
| Mid-range25–40 ft | 55 | 6 | .891 | ||
| Long40 ft and out | 75 | 1 | .987 | ||
| League = every goalie in a complete game, 148,981 shots on goal. * under 25 shots. | |||||
Counts games he played start to finish: the play-by-play names the goalie on a save but not on a goal, so a goal can be placed only when he was the only one in net (empty-net goals and the shootout are left out). Save percentage is saves over shots on goal; a square or row with few shots swings widely. Where shots came from, not a forecast.
Pro: Hit rates and the gap vs price are part of ProStart 7-day free trialorcreate a free account
Bars: recent games vs the line (up = over, down = under)
| Measure | UTAH | NJ | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shot attempts and shots | |||
| Shot-attempt share | 55.6%#3 of 32 | 53.5%#7 of 32 | 49.8% |
| Even-strength attempt share | 56.4%#1 of 32 | 53.1%#7 of 32 | 49.8% |
| Shots-on-goal share | 54.8%#6 of 32 | 52.5%#11 of 32 | 49.9% |
| Attempts for per game | 64.9#2 of 32 | 61.2#8 of 32 | 56.5 |
| Attempts against per game | 51.8#28 of 32 | 53.2#26 of 32 | 56.8 |
| Special teams | |||
| Power play | 40.0%#1 of 3212 goals on 30 chances | 8.7%#28 of 322 goals on 23 chances | 21.1% |
| Power plays per game | 3.00#10 of 32 | 2.30#26 of 32 | 2.77 |
| Penalty kill | 75.9%#21 of 3222 of 29 killed | 79.2%#16 of 3219 of 24 killed | 78.9% |
| Times shorthanded per game | 2.90#12 of 32 | 2.40#26 of 32 | 2.76 |
Last 10 games counted back from each team's latest regular-season game. UTAH: 10 games, 7 from 2025–26. NJ: 10 games, 8 from 2025–26. Rank 1 is the highest in the league, even for attempts against, and a rank is a place, not a grade. Attempts are goals, saves, misses and blocked shots from the play-by-play (even strength means neither team on a power play); a game it did not cover is left out. Past games, not a forecast.
| Player | GP | G | A | PTS | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Keller | 15 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 40 | 19:26 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 15 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 26 | 23:51 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 47 | 19:33 |
| Dylan Guenther | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 17:54 |
| Logan Cooley | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 17:29 |
| Lawson Crouse | 15 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 17:10 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 15 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14:45 |
| JJ Peterka | 15 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 14:51 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 14 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 20:11 |
| John Marino | 13 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:06 |
| Michael Carcone | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 14:17 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 12:08 |
| Player | GP | G | A | PTS | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes | 15 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 67 | 22:14 |
| Jesper Bratt | 15 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 29 | 18:24 |
| Nico Hischier | 15 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 20:16 |
| Connor Brown | 15 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 19:38 |
| Timo Meier | 15 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 18:24 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 20:36 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 15 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 19:03 |
| Dawson Mercer | 15 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 18:38 |
| Simon Nemec | 15 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19:31 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | 15 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:57 |
| Cody Glass | 15 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13:19 |
| Luke Hughes | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 23:30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | NJ+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | NJ+1 | +1 | ||
| Mar 1, 2025 | NJ+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | NJ+3 | +3 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. The goalie shown is the one who started the team's last game; the starter for this game is not confirmed. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UTAH44-32-6 · last 82 games | NJ42-37-3 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shooting percentage | 12.0%#7 of 32 | 9.2%#31 of 32 | 11.3% |
| Goals for | 3.35#9 of 32 | 2.74#29 of 32 | 3.12 |
| 1st period goals against | 0.78#26 of 32 | 0.98#6 of 32 | 0.88 |
| Shots by both teams per game | 53.9#26 of 32 | 57.4#7 of 32 | 55.6 |
| Times shorthanded per game | 2.98#12 of 32 | 2.50#31 of 32 | 2.87 |
| Power plays per game | 2.78#21 of 32 | 2.54#30 of 32 | 2.88 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 32 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
Where a player's own games in the situations this game has and the books' no-vig chance disagree by more than luck usually explains. Some still are luck. History, not a pick.
Dougie Hamilton has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 22 of 32 games against middling defenses.
Also cleared the bar (home): 27 of 40 on the over side.
Lines from regulated US sportsbooks; they can lag what a book shows right now. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.