Arkansas beat Mississippi State 93–92 at home on Mar 8, 2025.
| Team | 1st | 2nd | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 48 | 92 | |
| 45 | 48 | 93 |
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 4-16 | 3-11 |
| Cameron Matthews | 30 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| RJ Melendez | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Riley Kugel | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Mike Nwoko | 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 24 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-9 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Dellquan Warren | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 92 | 26 | 15 | 32-73 | 12-32 |
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wagner | 38 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 7-9 | 3-4 |
| Johnell Davis | 34 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4-10 | 3-5 |
| Trevon Brazile | 23 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Karter Knox | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Jonas Aidoo | 32 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Billy Richmond III | 28 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Totals | 93 | 36 | 21 | 31-56 | 9-21 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
MSST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ARK defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
ARK offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 360 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 35.3 | 19.5 | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| Cameron Matthews | 33.1 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 25.4 | 13.3 | 7.4 | 1.2 |
| RJ Melendez | 24.9 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Riley Kugel | 23.5 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 22.4 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 20.1 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Mike Nwoko | 16.3 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boogie Fland | 35.0 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 5.0 |
| D.J. Wagner | 33.7 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| Johnell Davis | 32.6 | 12.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| Karter Knox | 30.3 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| Adou Thiero | 28.5 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 1.7 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 24.1 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 0.9 |
| Trevon Brazile | 18.8 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| Billy Richmond III | 16.1 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of ARK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | ARK+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | ARK+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | MSST+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | MSST+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | ARK+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | MSST+13 | +13 | ||
| Feb 2, 2021 | ARK+16 | +16 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.