Arkansas State beat Southern Miss 81–68 at Southern Miss on Jan 29, 2025.
| Team | 1st | 2nd | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 44 | 81 | |
| 41 | 27 | 68 |
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 40 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Taryn Todd | 36 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 10-22 | 1-6 |
| Joseph Pinion | 32 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Kobe Julien | 32 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 20 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 19 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Derrian Ford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Avery Felts | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 81 | 41 | 8 | 28-64 | 6-19 |
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 34 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-3 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 33 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10-12 | 0-1 |
| Christian Watson | 30 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Neftali Alvarez | 26 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Cobie Montgomery | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Andre Curbelo | 25 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-0 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| John Wade III | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Christian Reid | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brewer Carruth | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jett Montgomery | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 68 | 32 | 11 | 23-56 | 6-17 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
ARST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · USM defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
USM offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ARST defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 360 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Denijay Harris's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taryn Todd | 32.2 | 16.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 |
| Kobe Julien | 27.0 | 12.9 | 5.4 | 1.5 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 26.7 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 4.7 |
| Joseph Pinion | 26.6 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 21.9 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 0.5 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 19.7 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 0.6 |
| Derrian Ford | 19.2 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Avery Felts | 14.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 35.5 | 16.7 | 11.3 | 1.7 |
| Christian Watson | 29.6 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 2.9 |
| Cobie Montgomery | 27.5 | 10.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Neftali Alvarez | 27.0 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 27.0 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 0.9 |
| Andre Curbelo | 24.4 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 4.0 |
| John Wade III | 19.0 | 6.0 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of ARST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
45% of USM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | ARST+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | ARST+7 | +7 | ||
| Feb 12, 2025 | ARST+34 | +34 | ||
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARST+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | ARST+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 17, 2024 | USM+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | USM+16 | +16 | ||
| Jan 14, 2023 | USM+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.