Toledo beat Ohio 86–83 at Ohio on Jan 28, 2025.
| Team | 1st | 2nd | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 39 | 86 | |
| 39 | 44 | 83 |
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 36 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-2 |
| Javan Simmons | 32 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Ford | 30 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Sam Lewis | 28 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Isaiah Adams | 25 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-2 |
| Seth Hubbard | 21 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Grgur Brcic | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 86 | 37 | 15 | 34-64 | 7-16 |
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke | 33 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 9-14 | 1-2 |
| Vic Searls | 32 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| AJ Brown | 26 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Elijah Elliott | 23 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Ayden Evans | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Shereef Mitchell | 34 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-5 |
| Elmore James IV | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Totals | 83 | 32 | 11 | 31-69 | 8-19 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
TOL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · OHIO defense in 1
OHIO offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TOL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 360 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
AJ Clayton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 33.1 | 14.8 | 4.7 | 3.4 |
| Sam Lewis | 30.3 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Isaiah Adams | 29.3 | 10.2 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Javan Simmons | 28.6 | 11.4 | 5.8 | 2.0 |
| Seth Hubbard | 21.2 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Bryce Ford | 19.6 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 17.4 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 11.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke | 31.1 | 13.7 | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| AJ Clayton | 29.1 | 16.2 | 6.3 | 1.0 |
| Aidan Hadaway | 27.1 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| AJ Brown | 26.8 | 12.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Elmore James IV | 26.5 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Shereef Mitchell | 24.4 | 10.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 20.2 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Vic Searls | 19.1 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
50% of TOL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of OHIO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | TOL+12 | +12 | ||
| Jan 13, 2026 | TOL+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | TOL+5 | +5 | ||
| Mar 7, 2025 | TOL+14 | +14 | ||
| Jan 28, 2025 | TOL+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | TOL+2 | +2 | ||
| Jan 2, 2024 | TOL+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | TOL+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 17, 2023 | TOL+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | TOL+15 | +15 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.