UT Arlington vs Tarleton State Odds, Stats & Props

Line scoreHistory

Team	1st	2nd	Final
UTA	32	42	74
TAR	38	39	77

Top performersHistory

UT Arlington Mavericks

Brody RobinsonG
21 pts · 2 reb · 2 ast
5-6 FG
5-6 3PT
Jaden WellsG
15 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast
5-8 FG
3-5 3PT
Lance WareF
10 pts · 5 reb · 2 ast
1-3 FG

Tarleton State Texans

Bubu BenjaminG
21 pts · 4 reb · 4 ast
8-16 FG
3-6 3PT
Dantwan GrimesG
18 pts · 2 reb · 3 ast · 3 stl
6-13 FG
2-6 3PT
Chris MpakaF
10 pts · 5 reb
4-6 FG

Box scoreHistory

every player

UTA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Brody Robinson	36	21	2	2	0	0	8	5-6	5-6	6-6	—
Lance Ware	33	10	5	2	0	2	4	1-3	0-0	8-12	—
Darius Burford	30	9	2	4	0	0	2	4-5	0-0	1-3	—
Raysean Seamster	28	10	6	1	2	0	1	4-6	1-2	1-3	—
Jaden Wells	23	15	3	1	1	0	3	5-8	3-5	2-2	—
Diante Smith	20	5	3	1	0	1	2	1-3	1-3	2-2	—
Jaxon Ellingsworth	10	4	2	0	0	0	2	1-4	0-1	2-2	—
Brandyn Talbot	8	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-5	0-3	0-0	—
Troy Hupstead	7	0	2	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	—
Kade Douglas	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	—
Totals		74	26	11	3	3	23	21-41	10-20	22-30

TAR	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Bubu Benjamin	39	21	4	4	2	2	2	8-16	3-6	2-2	—
Izzy Miles	36	9	2	0	1	1	1	2-8	1-2	4-6	—
Chris Mpaka	20	10	5	0	1	1	1	4-6	0-0	2-3	—
Keitenn Bristow	17	4	2	0	1	0	4	1-3	0-0	2-2	—
Nick Krass	11	2	1	1	0	1	1	1-2	0-0	0-0	—
Dantwan Grimes	39	18	2	3	3	0	0	6-13	2-6	4-4	—
Jordan Mizell	32	8	5	3	5	0	2	2-3	0-0	4-5	—
Karim Elgizawy	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	3-4	—
Marty Silvera	3	2	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	—
Totals		77	21	11	14	5	12	25-52	6-14	21-26

Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.

Team statsHistory

UTATAR

51.2%

Field goals

48.1%

50.0%

Three-pointers

42.9%

73.3%

Free throws

80.8%

29

Rebounds

23

9

Offensive rebounds

9

11

Assists

11

23

Turnovers

14

3

Steals

14

3

Blocks

5

18

Points in the paint

32

10

Fast-break points

6

22

Fouls

25

This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).

See the model’s call (graded) →

Going into the game · matchup numbers, form, rest

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 360 (#1 = best)

UTA offensevsTAR defense

UTA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · TAR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

51.7%

#123Stronger

52.1%

#237

Turnovers · per 100 plays

16.7%

#296

20.4%

Stronger#3

Offensive rebounding %

32.8%

#92Stronger

33.9%

#331

Free throw rate

24.2%

#157Stronger

35.5%

#358

TAR offensevsUTA defense

TAR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UTA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

45.9%

#340

50.4%

Stronger#152

Turnovers · per 100 plays

22.4%

#360

14.1%

Stronger#250

Offensive rebounding %

28.1%

#233slight

32.5%

#303

Free throw rate

30.2%

#15Stronger

25.2%

#228

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 360 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

UTATAR

−4.0 238thNet rating333rd −15.1

106.4 192ndOffensive rating357th 90.7

110.3 252ndDefensive rating142nd 105.7

68.6 130thPace242nd 66.4

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

UTA offensive rebounding
UTA offense 32.8% (92nd) vs TAR defense allowing 33.9% (331st)
+239 spots
TAR getting to the line
TAR offense 30.2% (15th) vs UTA defense allowing 25.2% (228th)
+213 spots
UTA getting to the line
UTA offense 24.2% (157th) vs TAR defense allowing 35.5% (358th)
+201 spots
UTA effective shooting
UTA offense 51.7% (123rd) vs TAR defense allowing 52.1% (237th)
+114 spots
TAR offensive rebounding
TAR offense 28.1% (233rd) vs UTA defense allowing 32.5% (303rd)
+70 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

UTA

TXST

TAR

5 days rest3rd straight road game

TAR

FAMU

UTA

5 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

UTA · last 10

11-18 · 5 days rest

Dec 29 @ TXSTW 80–72
Dec 21 @ LIBL 56–79
Dec 18 vs EVANW 80–54
Dec 14 vs ULMW 77–68
Dec 12 @ ARSTL 79–83
Dec 2 @ ULMW 84–70
Nov 28 @ URIL 78–83
Nov 27 @ APSUW 68–58
Nov 26 @ MURL 66–79
Nov 19 @ MOSTL 68–78

5-5 in these

TAR · last 10

9-20 · 5 days rest

Dec 29 vs FAMUW 70–60
Dec 18 @ OKSTL 61–66
Dec 16 @ UTEPL 62–67
Dec 8 @ UCFL 51–66
Dec 1 @ INSTL 71–87
Nov 30 vs HOFW 61–59
Nov 29 @ IONAL 51–62
Nov 21 @ MICHL 49–72
Nov 17 @ BAYL 41–104
Nov 12 @ FSUL 52–72

2-8 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

UT Arlington Mavericks

Tarleton State Texans

UTA rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Lance Ware	30.4	15.0	8.7	1.6
Jaden Wells	29.9	11.2	3.9	1.5
Darius Burford	27.5	8.3	4.7	2.2
Brody Robinson	26.2	7.3	2.1	2.7
Diante Smith	22.3	11.3	4.3	1.9
Raysean Seamster	22.1	10.4	4.0	1.3
Brandyn Talbot	17.2	4.7	1.2	1.2
Jaxon Ellingsworth	15.6	6.3	3.5	0.4

TAR rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Bubu Benjamin	36.4	15.3	5.0	1.3
Keitenn Bristow	31.0	15.3	6.5	1.5
Izzy Miles	29.5	6.4	3.3	1.6
Marty Silvera	26.0	8.3	3.7	3.7
Nick Krass	25.2	3.6	2.4	0.9
Dantwan Grimes	25.0	6.3	1.7	1.7
Ronnie Harrison	23.4	10.3	3.7	0.7
Joseph Martinez	21.3	2.3	1.4	1.1

Team rankings (2024–25)History

UTA offenseper gameTAR defense

Effective FG%

123rd51.7%

52.1%237th

Turnover %

296th16.7%

20.4%3rd

Offensive rebound %

92nd32.8%

33.9%331st

Free throw rate

157th24.2%

35.5%358th

Points

164th73.0

70.2102nd

Field goal %

179th44.2%

44.9%206th

2-point %

192nd50.6%

52.9%260th

3-point %

89th35.4%

33.9%190th

Free throw %

345th65.3%

73.5%258th

Rebounds

116th35.7

32.657th

Rank among 360 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

UTAForAgainst

1st half

30.2

30.5

2nd half

37.8

38.1

Game

68.0

68.6

44% of UTA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

TARForAgainst

1st half

31.2

33.5

2nd half

38.4

41.5

Game

69.6

74.9

45% of TAR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

UTA 4series6 TAR

Last 10UUTUTUTTTT

Avg total

141.6

combined points

Avg margin

TAR 0.0

per meeting

Biggest win

UTA +10

Feb 22, 2025

Last meeting

UTA won

Mar 5, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026UTA 2-0 TAR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 5, 2026	UTA 65	TAR 60	UTA+5	+5
Jan 21, 2026	TAR 64	UTA 71	UTA+7	+7

2025UTA 1-2 TAR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 29, 2025	TAR 69	UTA 63	TAR+6	+6
Feb 22, 2025	TAR 57	UTA 67	UTA+10	+10
Jan 4, 2025	UTA 74	TAR 77	TAR+3	+3

2024UTA 1-2 TAR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 15, 2024	UTA 87	TAR 84	UTA+3	+3
Feb 15, 2024	TAR 80	UTA 78	TAR+2	+2
Jan 4, 2024	UTA 76	TAR 78	TAR+2	+2

2023UTA 0-1 TAR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 6, 2023	TAR 69	UTA 64	TAR+5	+5

2022UTA 0-1 TAR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 29, 2022	UTA 63	TAR 70	TAR+7	+7

UT Arlington vs Tarleton State — College Basketball, Jan 4, 2025

Line scoreHistory

Top performersHistory

Box scoreHistory

Team statsHistory

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory