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Toledo beat Buffalo 99–78 at home on Mar 6, 2026.
| Team | 1st | 2nd | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
  BUF | 33 | 45 | 78 |
  TOL | 37 | 62 | 99 |
Buffalo BullsToledo Rockets| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 40 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 10-22 | 6-17 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 34 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Noah Batchelor | 34 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Tim Oboh | 31 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Matas Buteliauskas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ezra McKenna | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Totals | 78 | 29 | 11 | 31-58 | 10-25 |
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 35 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 10-14 | 4-6 |
| Sean Craig | 34 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 33 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 7-11 | 3-5 |
| Mynor Strong | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Austin Parks | 24 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Will James Jr. | 15 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Toby Nwokolo | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Ode | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| London Praytor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 99 | 27 | 27 | 38-63 | 12-24 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
BUF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TOL defense in 2
TOL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BUF defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BUFTOLExpected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BUFTOLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Daniel Freitag's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 38.0 | 19.8 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 33.1 | 17.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Daniel Freitag | 32.9 | 20.0 | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| Noah Batchelor | 31.3 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 29.4 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| Tim Oboh | 22.3 | 7.9 | 5.3 | 0.2 |
| Mikhail Pocknett | 15.8 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Ezra McKenna | 14.9 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37.1 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 34.3 | 17.1 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Sean Craig | 31.3 | 10.3 | 7.0 | 1.3 |
| Austin Parks | 26.3 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Mynor Strong | 20.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 19.5 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 19.3 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 0.5 |
| Will James Jr. | 10.1 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
BUF offenseper gameTOL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BUFForAgainst44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TOLForAgainst50% of TOL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BUF 1series9 TOL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | BUF 78 | TOL 99 | TOL+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | TOL 74 | BUF 87 | BUF+13 | +13 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BUF 74 | TOL 87 | TOL+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | TOL 85 | BUF 79 | TOL+6 | +6 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | BUF 66 | TOL 77 | TOL+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | BUF 71 | TOL 101 | TOL+30 | +30 |
| Jan 20, 2023 | TOL 86 | BUF 77 | TOL+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | TOL 92 | BUF 76 | TOL+16 | +16 |
| Jan 25, 2022 | BUF 75 | TOL 86 | TOL+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | TOL 80 | BUF 70 | TOL+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
