Louisville beat NC State 118–77 at home on Feb 9, 2026.
| Team | 1st | 2nd | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 41 | 77 | |
| 56 | 62 | 118 |
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Holloman | 30 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 7-13 | 1-5 |
| Darrion Williams | 28 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-13 | 2-7 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 26 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Quadir Copeland | 21 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Matt Able | 28 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Musa Sagnia | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Alyn Breed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Scottie Ebube | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 77 | 28 | 10 | 28-68 | 4-22 |
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 34 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 14-23 | 10-16 |
| Ryan Conwell | 29 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 10-14 | 5-6 |
| Isaac McKneely | 26 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Sananda Fru | 18 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Khani Rooths | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Aly Khalifa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kobe Rodgers | 11 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Adrian Wooley | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Vangelis Zougris | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kasean Pryor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cole Sherman | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Spencer Legg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Hanke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 118 | 42 | 21 | 39-65 | 18-30 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
NCSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LOU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
LOU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ryan Conwell's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 30.1 | 13.8 | 4.3 | 8.3 |
| Darrion Williams | 29.8 | 13.4 | 5.6 | 2.8 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 28.4 | 13.3 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 28.1 | 15.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Tre Holloman | 25.5 | 9.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Matt Able | 20.1 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| Alyn Breed | 19.9 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 18.0 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 31.6 | 17.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Isaac McKneely | 30.5 | 11.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 29.3 | 12.9 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 27.4 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Adrian Wooley | 24.4 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| Sananda Fru | 23.7 | 10.7 | 6.9 | 1.6 |
| Khani Rooths | 18.7 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 1.3 |
| Kobe Rodgers | 14.7 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | LOU+41 | +41 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | LOU+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | NCSU+9 | +9 | ||
| Jan 13, 2024 | NCSU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | NCSU+12 | +12 | ||
| Jan 12, 2022 | NCSU+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | LOU+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.