Northern Colorado vs Sacramento State Odds, Stats & Props

Line scoreHistory

Team	1st	2nd	OT	Final
UNCO	43	39	7	89
SAC	31	51	11	93

Top performersHistory

Northern Colorado Bears

Quinn DenkerG
29 pts · 6 reb · 11 ast · 4 stl · Double-double
11-18 FG
0-3 3PT
Vincent DelanoG
13 pts · 2 reb
6-10 FG
1-2 3PT
Ring NyeriF
11 pts · 6 reb
4-8 FG
1-3 3PT

Sacramento State Hornets

Prophet JohnsonG
30 pts · 5 reb · 3 ast · 3 stl
9-18 FG
2-7 3PT
Mark LavrenovF
17 pts · 17 reb · 2 ast · Double-double
6-14 FG
1-2 3PT
Jahni SummersG
17 pts · 3 reb · 4 ast
6-12 FG
3-6 3PT

Box scoreHistory

every player

UNCO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Quinn Denker	43	29	6	11	4	0	7	11-18	0-3	7-8	—
Zach Bloch	33	9	1	5	1	0	1	3-9	3-9	0-1	—
Ibu Yamazaki	31	8	4	0	0	0	0	3-10	2-8	0-0	—
Egan Shields	30	8	8	2	0	1	1	3-3	0-0	2-2	—
Brock Wisne	26	9	7	2	0	0	2	4-8	1-3	0-0	—
Ring Nyeri	30	11	6	0	0	1	0	4-8	1-3	2-2	—
Vincent Delano	28	13	2	0	0	0	3	6-10	1-2	0-0	—
Ariik Mawien	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	—
Hunter Caldwell	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	—
Totals		89	35	20	5	3	14	35-68	8-28	11-13

SAC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Mark Lavrenov	45	17	17	2	1	0	1	6-14	1-2	4-6	—
Prophet Johnson	44	30	5	3	3	2	5	9-18	2-7	10-12	—
Jahni Summers	33	17	3	4	2	0	1	6-12	3-6	2-2	—
Shaqir O'Neal	26	11	7	2	0	0	1	4-7	2-4	1-3	—
Taj Glover	23	5	1	1	1	0	0	2-5	0-2	1-2	—
Arman Madi	31	5	4	3	4	1	0	0-4	0-3	5-7	—
Jayden Teat	14	8	1	0	0	0	0	2-8	2-7	2-2	—
Romari Robinson	9	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	—
Totals		93	38	17	11	3	8	29-69	10-32	25-34

Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.

Team statsHistory

UNCOSAC

51.5%

Field goals

42.0%

28.6%

Three-pointers

31.3%

84.6%

Free throws

73.5%

39

Rebounds

39

8

Offensive rebounds

13

20

Assists

17

14

Turnovers

8

5

Steals

11

3

Blocks

3

52

Points in the paint

34

14

Fast-break points

19

25

Fouls

17

This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).

See the model’s call (graded) →

Going into the game · matchup numbers, form, rest

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

UNCO offensevsSAC defense

UNCO offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SAC defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.7%

#27Stronger

55.0%

#328

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.8%

#125slight

14.9%

#152

Offensive rebounding %

27.2%

#286slight

33.4%

#304

Free throw rate

20.8%

#318

26.3%

Stronger#219

SAC offensevsUNCO defense

SAC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UNCO defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

47.0%

#333

50.1%

Stronger#107

Turnovers · per 100 plays

12.6%

#34Stronger

11.1%

#354

Offensive rebounding %

25.2%

#332

24.2%

Stronger#6

Free throw rate

32.2%

#16Stronger

29.6%

#304

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

UNCOSAC

+3.9 113thNet rating312th −10.7

114.6 82ndOffensive rating259th 105.7

110.7 207thDefensive rating325th 116.5

70.5 59thPace21st 71.8

Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

SAC turnovers
SAC offense 12.6% (34th) vs UNCO defense allowing 11.1% (354th)
+320 spots
UNCO 2-point shooting
UNCO offense 58.1% (21st) vs SAC defense allowing 56.8% (337th)
+316 spots
UNCO effective shooting
UNCO offense 55.7% (27th) vs SAC defense allowing 55.0% (328th)
+301 spots
UNCO scoring
UNCO offense 80.8 (52nd) vs SAC defense allowing 83.6 (349th)
+297 spots
SAC getting to the line
SAC offense 32.2% (16th) vs UNCO defense allowing 29.6% (304th)
+288 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

UNCO

IDST

WEB

PRST

SAC

1 day rest

SAC

PRST

NAU

UNCO

1 day rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

UNCO · last 10

17-12 · 1 day rest

Jan 15 @ PRSTL 73–76
Jan 10 vs WEBL 71–76
Jan 8 vs IDSTW 85–72
Jan 3 @ MONTL 79–88
Jan 1 @ MTSTL 75–89
Dec 28 @ COLOW 86–81
Dec 20 vs DENL 79–86
Dec 16 @ TTUL 90–101
Dec 6 vs SDAKW 89–87
Dec 3 @ OMAW 75–70

4-6 in these

SAC · last 10

7-21 · 1 day rest

Jan 15 vs NAUW 83–69
Jan 10 @ PRSTL 69–96
Jan 3 @ WEBL 82–95
Jan 1 @ IDSTL 84–97
Dec 22 @ CSUNL 88–100
Dec 20 @ CBUL 67–74
Dec 2 @ BAYL 88–110
Nov 29 @ PACL 54–68
Nov 21 @ CALL 67–91
Nov 18 @ UCLAL 48–79

1-9 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Northern Colorado Bears

Sacramento State Hornets

Mikey Williams

SAC vs UNCO

Player page →

Points No line yet

UNCO at SAC

Full breakdown

Mikey Williams's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

UNCO rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Quinn Denker	34.7	18.8	4.1	6.5
Zach Bloch	34.4	12.9	2.9	2.7
Brock Wisne	33.5	16.8	6.1	2.5
Ibu Yamazaki	29.9	10.7	4.1	1.2
Ring Nyeri	22.5	6.5	5.4	0.6
Vincent Delano	22.2	7.2	1.9	1.9
Egan Shields	20.4	7.7	5.7	1.1
Ariik Mawien	9.4	2.5	1.8	0.4

SAC rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Mikey Williams	35.8	19.4	2.8	4.0
Prophet Johnson	35.3	14.9	8.0	3.2
Jeremiah Cherry	29.3	15.3	6.8	1.0
Mark Lavrenov	23.7	8.3	6.8	0.2
Jahni Summers	23.3	8.1	2.2	0.5
Shaqir O'Neal	17.8	3.9	2.6	0.5
Brandon Gardner	15.8	3.5	2.6	0.4
Arman Madi	15.8	3.0	2.3	0.6

Team rankings (2025–26)History

UNCO offenseper gameSAC defense

Effective FG%

27th55.7%

55.0%328th

Turnover %

125th13.8%

14.9%152nd

Offensive rebound %

286th27.2%

33.4%304th

Free throw rate

318th20.8%

26.3%219th

Points

52nd80.8

83.6349th

Field goal %

27th48.5%

47.4%309th

2-point %

21st58.1%

56.8%337th

3-point %

118th35.0%

35.2%256th

Free throw %

59th75.8%

72.5%188th

Rebounds

105th36.0

39.9354th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

UNCOForAgainst

1st half

36.8

34.8

2nd half

43.1

40.6

Game

79.8

75.4

46% of UNCO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

SACForAgainst

1st half

35.9

39.8

2nd half

41.9

42.4

Game

77.8

82.1

46% of SAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

UNCO 7series3 SAC

Last 10USUUUUUSUS

Avg total

148.9

combined points

Avg margin

UNCO 5.1

per meeting

Biggest win

UNCO +18

Feb 10, 2022

Last meeting

UNCO won

Feb 12, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026UNCO 1-1 SAC

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 12, 2026	SAC 79	UNCO 95	UNCO+16	+16
Jan 17, 2026	UNCO 89	SAC 93	SAC+4	+4

2025UNCO 2-0 SAC

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 13, 2025	UNCO 77	SAC 61	UNCO+16	+16
Jan 18, 2025	SAC 64	UNCO 68	UNCO+4	+4

2024UNCO 2-0 SAC

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 17, 2024	UNCO 80	SAC 75	UNCO+5	+5
Jan 18, 2024	SAC 75	UNCO 77	UNCO+2	+2

2023UNCO 1-1 SAC

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 11, 2023	SAC 54	UNCO 70	UNCO+16	+16
Jan 12, 2023	UNCO 64	SAC 72	SAC+8	+8

2022UNCO 1-1 SAC

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 10, 2022	UNCO 79	SAC 61	UNCO+18	+18
Jan 8, 2022	SAC 85	UNCO 71	SAC+14	+14

Northern Colorado vs Sacramento State — College Basketball, Jan 17, 2026

Line scoreHistory

Top performersHistory

Box scoreHistory

Team statsHistory

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory