Buffalo beat Northern Illinois 81–67 at Northern Illinois on Dec 31, 2025.
| Team | 1st | 2nd | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 38 | 81 | |
| 29 | 38 | 67 |
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Freitag | 37 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 11-17 | 4-8 |
| Ryan Sabol | 37 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Noah Batchelor | 29 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Tim Oboh | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 26 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Ezra McKenna | 20 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Mikhail Pocknett | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Totals | 81 | 29 | 15 | 27-55 | 11-26 |
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ducommun | 37 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 7-19 | 3-12 |
| Makhai Valentine | 33 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Taj Walters | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Gustav Winther | 26 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Daemar Kelly | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Gianni Cobb | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Jao Ituka | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Hassan Washington | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ladji Kante | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Totals | 67 | 26 | 12 | 23-56 | 7-32 |
Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.
This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).
BUF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NIU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NIU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · BUF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Daniel Freitag's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 35.0 | 16.8 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Daniel Freitag | 33.5 | 19.9 | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| Noah Batchelor | 30.0 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 27.2 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 19.9 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Tim Oboh | 19.1 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Ezra McKenna | 18.2 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Mikhail Pocknett | 12.9 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ducommun | 32.7 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Makhai Valentine | 28.6 | 11.2 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Gustav Winther | 27.0 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 1.0 |
| Daemar Kelly | 26.8 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Gianni Cobb | 23.6 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 3.4 |
| JJ Taylor | 21.0 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| Taj Walters | 17.5 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Jao Ituka | 16.0 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
45% of NIU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | NIU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | BUF+14 | +14 | ||
| Feb 11, 2025 | BUF+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | NIU+10 | +10 | ||
| Feb 13, 2024 | NIU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | BUF+10 | +10 | ||
| Jan 7, 2023 | BUF+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | BUF+10 | +10 | ||
| Feb 24, 2022 | BUF+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2021 | BUF+28 | +28 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.