Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Rutgers (14-19 in 2025–26) on Mar 7, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
RUTG offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups · PSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
PSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · RUTG defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tariq Francis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariq Francis | 30.1 | 18.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. | 27.7 | 9.2 | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| Jamichael Davis | 24.5 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Dylan Grant | 23.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Harun Zrno | 21.3 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole | 19.9 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 0.5 |
| Lino Mark | 19.5 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Kaden Powers | 17.2 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of RUTG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG+12 | +12 | ||
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | RUTG+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 31, 2024 | PSU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | RUTG+3 | +3 | ||
| Jan 24, 2023 | RUTG+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | RUTG+1 | +1 | ||
| Jan 11, 2022 | PSU+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2021 | PSU+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | RUTG11-19 · last 30 games | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.1%#159 of 361 | 48.5%#50 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.7#275 of 361 | 109.3#176 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for | 69.7#281 of 361 | 73.2#211 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.8#65 of 361 | 120.9#8 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.